Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

0.1 pt (24h)2y

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

-1.8pt18%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Gavin Newsom

-0.4pt14%

+48 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.3B

24h Vol$711.8K

POLYMARKET

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

0.1 pt (24h)2y

J.D. Vance

+0.4pt51%

Marco Rubio

+1.0pt19%

Tucker Carlson

+39 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$703.5M

24h Vol$1.3M

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

0.1 pt (24h)7mo

Marine Le Pen

+0.2pt36.1%

Édouard Philippe

-1.0pt28.9%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

12.4%

+38 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$132.8M

24h Vol$1.6M

POLYMARKET

Presidential Election Winner 2028

0.1 pt (24h)2y

JD Vance

-0.1pt24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

13%

Jon Ossoff

12%

+49 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$704.5M

24h Vol$209.2K

POLYMARKET

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

0.1 pt (24h)2y

Jon Ossoff

17.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

16.7%

Gavin Newsom

+1.0pt14.6%

+45 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$215.7M

24h Vol$685.7K

KALSHI

Brazil Presidential Election

21d

Flávio Bolsonaro

-1.6pt49.5%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

+5.0pt48.5%

Renan Santos

-0.3pt2%

+16 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$148.8M

24h Vol$972.9K

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the U.S. House?

4mo

Democratic Party

85.2%

Republican Party

14.8%

High quality (96)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$30.2M

24h Vol$303.9K

KALSHI

2028 Republican presidential nominee

0.1 pt (24h)2y

J.D. Vance

46%

Marco Rubio

+1.0pt21%

Ron DeSantis

+35 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$64M

24h Vol$134.4K

KALSHI

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

3mo

December 31

+2.6pt66%

October 31

+4.5pt41%

September 30

+5.0pt24%

+17 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$27.8M

24h Vol$305.5K

POLYMARKET

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance

-1.0pt22.9%

Jon Ossoff

12.5%

Marco Rubio

-1.0pt11.5%

+27 more outcomes

Medium quality (68)Spread unknownHigh liquidity

Total Vol$65.5M

24h Vol$101K

KALSHI

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)

79%

New People (NL)

-0.1pt17%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

+5 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$27.1M

24h Vol$255.5K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

0.4 pt (24h)3mo

December 31

+0.4pt4%

September 30

+0.1pt1%

April 30

+3 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$67M

24h Vol$61.9K

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

3mo

Gadi Eizenkot

-5.5pt51%

Benjamin Netanyahu

28%

Naftali Bennett

+1.0pt8%

+16 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$37.1M

24h Vol$103.9K

POLYMARKET

Putin out as President of Russia by which date?

9mo

June 30, 2027

+1.0pt14%

December

September 30,

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$23.7M

24h Vol$168.1K

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

0.4 pt (24h)3mo

Before Jan 20, 2029

20%

Before 2028

-1.0pt12%

Before 2027

+0.4pt5%

+5 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$33.5M

24h Vol$79.1K

KALSHI

Which party will win the House in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)1mo

Democratic Party

+1.0pt86.3%

Republican Party

-1.0pt13.7%

High quality (93)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$10.9M

24h Vol$220.3K

POLYMARKET

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

4mo

D-House, D-Senate

+1.0pt47.5%

D-House, R-Senate

-1.0pt35.6%

R-House, R-Senate

15.8%

+1 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$12.9M

24h Vol$173.1K

KALSHI

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

July 18

+0.3pt100%

July 20

+0.1pt100%

July 22

+0.5pt100%

+21 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$29.7M

24h Vol$70K

POLYMARKET

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

11.0 pt (24h)11h

Magdalena Andersson

-11.0pt69.3%

Ulf Kristersson

+11.5pt29.7%

Ebba Busch

+0.2pt1%

+7 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$5.7M

24h Vol$345.6K

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

3mo

80.2%

Yes

19.8%

High quality (90)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$15.2M

24h Vol$93.6K

POLYMARKET

Texas Senate winner?

1.0 pt (24h)1y

James Talarico

50.5%

Ken Paxton

-1.0pt49.5%

High quality (94)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$11.5M

24h Vol$113.9K

KALSHI

Trump out as President before 2027?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

-1.0pt93.1%

Yes

+1.0pt6.9%

CoinRithm referenceNo93%· 1 pt venue spread

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$11.5M

24h Vol$81.1K

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

1.0 pt (24h)4mo

Republican Party

-1.0pt51.5%

Democratic Party

+2.0pt48.5%

High quality (94)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$8.2M

24h Vol$95.9K

KALSHI

Netanyahu out by which date?

3mo

December 31

54%

May 31

July 31

+3 more outcomes

Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$124.3M

24h Vol$5K

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

1.0 pt (24h)1mo

Democrats Sweep

49%

R Senate, D

+1.0pt36.3%

Republicans Sweep

-1.0pt12.8%

+2 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$11.6M

24h Vol$62.3K

POLYMARKET

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

3mo

Nicolás Maduro

84.8%

Delcy Rodríguez

+2.0pt13.1%

María Corina Machado

-0.2pt1%

+13 more outcomes

High quality (89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$96.1M

24h Vol$6.1K

POLYMARKET

Will the Clarity Act become law?

2.0 pt (24h)19d

Before Jan 1, 2028

+3.0pt46%

Before Oct 1, 2027

-1.0pt37%

Before Jul 1, 2027

+3.0pt34%

+7 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$6M

24h Vol$112.8K

KALSHI

Brazil Presidential election winner?

1.0 pt (24h)1y

Flávio Bolsonaro

-4.0pt47.6%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

+3.0pt45.7%

Jair Bolsonaro

2.9%

+11 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$4.3M

24h Vol$152.2K

KALSHI

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

8mo

Karen Bass

66.3%

Nithya Raman

33.7%

High quality (90)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$30.9M

24h Vol$14.1K

KALSHI

California Governor winner? (Person)

0.4 pt (24h)1y

Xavier Becerra

-0.3pt95%

Steve Hilton

+0.4pt5%

High quality (93)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$13.7M

24h Vol$32K

KALSHI

Iowa Senate winner?

6.0 pt (24h)1y

Ashley Hinson

-5.0pt60.4%

Josh Turek

+6.0pt39.6%

High quality (94)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.7M

24h Vol$165.3K

KALSHI

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

6.0 pt (24h)21d

Flávio Bolsonaro

+5.5pt77.2%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

-6.0pt19.8%

Renan Santos

-0.3pt2%

+15 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$6.9M

24h Vol$53K

POLYMARKET

Michigan Senate winner?

1.0 pt (24h)1y

Abdul El-Sayed

62.4%

Mike Rogers

+1.0pt37.6%

High quality (92)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.4M

24h Vol$108.8K

KALSHI

Will the SAVE Act become law?

0.3 pt (24h)3mo

96%

Yes

+0.3pt4%

High quality (93)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$13.3M

24h Vol$24.6K

KALSHI

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

0.1 pt (24h)27d

Yulia Navalnaya

Save the Children

+0.3pt8%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

-0.5pt6%

+28 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$23.8M

24h Vol$11K

POLYMARKET

California Governor Election Winner

0.1 pt (24h)1mo

Xavier Becerra

-0.3pt95%

Steve Hilton

+0.1pt5%

Rick Caruso

+20 more outcomes

High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$41M

24h Vol$5.1K

POLYMARKET

Ohio Senate winner?

1.0 pt (24h)1y

Sherrod Brown

52.5%

Jon Husted

-1.0pt47.5%

High quality (92)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.1M

24h Vol$42.4K

KALSHI

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

1mo

Democratic Party

52%

Republican Party

48%

CoinRithm referenceDemocratic Party53%· 1 pt venue spread

High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$4.3M

24h Vol$29.1K

POLYMARKET

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

0.3 pt (24h)1mo

92%

Yes

-0.3pt8%

High quality (91)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$3.2M

24h Vol$23.3K

KALSHI

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

0.2 pt (24h)3mo

Before January 20, 2029

24%

Before 2028

+1.0pt19%

Before 2027

+0.2pt5%

+1 more outcomes

High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$11.1M

24h Vol$5.1K

KALSHI

California Governor winner?

0.6 pt (24h)1y

Xavier Becerra

96%

Steve Hilton

+0.6pt4%

High quality (91)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.4M

24h Vol$39.9K

KALSHI

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

3.0 pt (24h)1mo

Before Jan 1, 2027

+1.6pt8%

Before Dec 1, 2026

+2.0pt6%

Before Nov 1, 2026

+3.0pt5%

+3 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.5M

24h Vol$21.6K

KALSHI

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

5.0 pt (24h)3mo

Nicolás Maduro

+1.0pt83%

Delcy Rodríguez

+5.0pt20%

Jorge Rodríguez

+15 more outcomes

Medium quality (≤74)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$5.3M

24h Vol$9.2K

KALSHI

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

0.4 pt (24h)3mo

Before 2027

-0.4pt4%

Before August

High quality (83)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.4M

24h Vol$21.1K

KALSHI

Maine Senate winner?

Troy Jackson

66.3%

Susan Collins

33.7%

High quality (87)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$5.3M

24h Vol$8.5K

KALSHI

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

0.1 pt (24h)4mo

230-233

12.6%

234-237

11.7%

226-229

-1.0pt10.7%

+9 more outcomes

High quality (90)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$1.7M

24h Vol$26.7K

KALSHI

Trump out as President by September 30?

18d

99%

Yes

High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$697K

24h Vol$69.4K

POLYMARKET

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

1.0 pt (24h)4mo

Above 52

20.8%

15.1%

+7 more outcomes

High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$2.5M

24h Vol$17.1K

KALSHI

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