Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
0.1 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+0.1pt26%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+2.9pt17%
Gavin Newsom-1.4pt13%+53 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.3B
24h Vol$1.8M
POLYMARKETPolitics
27,813 markets tracked all-time for Politics, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
16,190
Total Volume
$8,946,232,913
24h Volume
$51,289,977
Liquidity + open interest
$2,848,503,978
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The Midterms Are the First Real Test of Whether Markets Beat PollstersDecryptJon Ossoff+0.1pt26%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+2.9pt17%Gavin Newsom-1.4pt13%POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
1.4 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+2.5pt20%
JD Vance+1.4pt18%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt12%+52 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$733.7M
24h Vol$2M
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
3.5 pt (24h)2y
J.D. Vance+3.5pt38%
Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
Ron DeSantis-1.1pt13%+40 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$728.7M
24h Vol$1.6M
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
1.0 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff-1.0pt26%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13%+54 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$271.5M
24h Vol$3.3M
KALSHI
Next French Presidential Election
0.6 pt (24h)5mo
Marine Le Pen+2.8pt42.7%
David Lisnard-0.6pt14.6%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.6%+42 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$166.7M
24h Vol$973.9K
53 minutes agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
2.0 pt (24h)2y
J.D. Vance+3.0pt35%Marco Rubio-2.0pt20%Ron DeSantis+1.0pt19%+47 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$81.7M
24h Vol$1.9M
KALSHI
Mississippi Senate winner?
0.3 pt (24h)1mo
Scott Colom+0.3pt97%Cindy Hyde-Smith-0.3pt3%High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$31.1M
24h Vol$4.5M
KALSHI
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
2.0 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff-2.0pt23%J.D. Vance-2.0pt13%Marco Rubio11%+48 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$86.1M
24h Vol$1.4M
KALSHI
Alaska Senate winner?
3.7 pt (24h)1mo
Democratic party+3.6pt97%Republican party-3.7pt4%CoinRithm referenceDemocratic party96%· 2 pt venue spread
High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$23.8M
24h Vol$4.2M
KALSHI
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
0.3 pt (24h)1mo
November 3-0.3pt100%November 4-0.3pt100%November 5+1.1pt100%+39 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$46.5M
24h Vol$1M
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Netanyahu out by which date?
24.0 pt (24h)1mo
June 30,+24.0pt63%March 31,+21.5pt55%December 31+16.5pt38%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (57)Wide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$125.2M
24h Vol$151K
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
1.0 pt (24h)25d
Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt21%Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt13%Before Dec 1, 20262%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$38.7M
24h Vol$382K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
1.5 pt (24h)1mo
March 31-1.5pt70%December 31-2.3pt41%November 30-2.0pt22%+22 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$48.2M
24h Vol$298.3K
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
1.4 pt (24h)2mo
Above 52+1.4pt99%450%51+0.1pt0%+7 more outcomes
High quality (89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$22.7M
24h Vol$540.6K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
0.6 pt (24h)1mo
Nicolás Maduro91.1%Delcy Rodríguez7.9%Edmundo González+0.6pt1%+13 more outcomes
High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$99.5M
24h Vol$97.6K
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
0.1 pt (24h)7mo
June 30, 20279%March 31, 2027-0.5pt5%December+0.1pt2%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$31.9M
24h Vol$248.1K
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NC-03 House winner?
1.0 pt (24h)1mo
Raymond Smith Jr.+1.0pt75%Greg Murphy-1.0pt26%High quality (89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.5M
24h Vol$1.4M
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
0.8 pt (24h)2mo
56+1.6pt92%55-4.4pt5%57-0.8pt3%+4 more outcomes
High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$7.9M
24h Vol$774.1K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory
0.1 pt (24h)12mo
James Talarico, 8+ pts+0.1pt100%James Talarico, 3+ pts100%James Talarico, 9+ pts+0.1pt100%+20 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$7.5M
24h Vol$754.9K
53 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
0.1 pt (24h)1mo
December 31-0.1pt2%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$77.7M
24h Vol$59.8K
POLYMARKETFlorida Senate margin of victory
0.2 pt (24h)12mo
Moody, 1+ pts+0.2pt99%Moody, 2+ pts98%Moody, 3.5+ pts+0.2pt2%+19 more outcomes
Medium quality (55)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.9M
24h Vol$1.9M
53 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Blue wave in 2026?
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
0.4 pt (24h)2mo
Yes99%+0.4pt
No1%
High quality (89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$12.8M
24h Vol$319.3K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHIMichigan Senate margin of victory
0.1 pt (24h)12mo
El-Sayed, 4+ pts+0.1pt100%El-Sayed, 3.5+ pts+0.2pt100%El-Sayed, 2+ pts+0.1pt100%+14 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$4.5M
24h Vol$961.2K
53 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
15.0 pt (24h)11mo
Gadi Eizenkot+15.0pt55%No one-8.0pt38%Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt9%+18 more outcomes
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$10M
24h Vol$372.3K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
5.0 pt (24h)2mo
Below 45+5.0pt94%45-3.0pt5%461%+12 more outcomes
High quality (89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$15.8M
24h Vol$222.7K
KALSHI
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
Above 249+0.2pt99%246-249-0.1pt0%242-245-0.1pt0%+9 more outcomes
High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$10.6M
24h Vol$304.8K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President before 2027?
0.3 pt (24h)1mo
Yes4%-0.3pt
No96%+0.3pt
High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$14.2M
24h Vol$214.7K
53 minutes agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
36.0 pt (24h)12mo
Democrats, 14 to 16%+36.0pt54%Democrats, 12 to 14%-28.0pt41%Democrats, 16% and above+1.8pt2%+7 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.6M
24h Vol$362.8K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
NY-17 House winner?
0.4 pt (24h)1mo
Cait Conley+0.3pt100%Mike Lawler-0.4pt0%High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$4.9M
24h Vol$514.3K
KALSHIFlorida Governor margin of victory
0.3 pt (24h)12mo
Donalds, 0.5+ pts+0.3pt99%Donalds, 1+ pts-0.5pt96%Donalds, 5.5+ pts+2.7pt3%+16 more outcomes
Medium quality (55)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.2M
24h Vol$968.5K
53 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
0.7 pt (24h)1mo
Before January 20, 202933%Before 2028-1.0pt19%Before 2027+0.7pt3%High quality (89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.3M
24h Vol$216.1K
KALSHI
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
3.3 pt (24h)4d
Mary Peltola+3.3pt97%Dan Sullivan-3.3pt4%Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.1%+4 more outcomes
High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.6M
24h Vol$647.6K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Before Jan 4, 2027
0.2 pt (24h)1mo
Yes1%+0.2pt
No99%
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$16M
24h Vol$68.1K
KALSHI
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
In 2026
0.4 pt (24h)25d
Yes2%+0.4pt
No98%
High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$4.3M
24h Vol$277.2K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
0.2 pt (24h)1mo
Yes3%-0.2pt
No97%+0.2pt
High quality (78)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$25M
24h Vol$35.2K
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
1.0 pt (24h)23d
Chiang Wan-an+1.0pt68%
Puma Shen-1.4pt32%
Kuo Hsi0%High quality (84)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.5M
24h Vol$235.8K
53 minutes agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
1.0 pt (24h)25d
Before Jan 1, 2029+1.0pt94%Before Jul 1, 2028-2.0pt90%Before Jan 1, 2028+2.0pt89%+10 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1.8M
24h Vol$463.3K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by which date?
9.8 pt (24h)7mo
June 30, 2027-16.0pt18%December 31-9.8pt5%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$4.9M
24h Vol$148.1K
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US House Control After the 2026 Midterms
12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
24h Vol$909.6K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)2026 Alaska Senate Race
2.0 pt (24h)12mo
CoinRithm referenceDemocratic party96%· 2 pt venue spread
Medium quality (66)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
24h Vol$899.9K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
Kansas Governor winner?
0.7 pt (24h)2mo
Cindy Holscher+0.2pt99%Ty Masterson+0.7pt1%High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$3.5M
24h Vol$169.1K
KALSHI
Will the House impeach Trump?
8.0 pt (24h)1mo
Before Jan 1, 2028-8.0pt64%Before Oct 1, 2027-8.0pt59%Before Aug 1, 2027-7.0pt54%+8 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.6M
24h Vol$118.2K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Senate margin of victory
0.2 pt (24h)12mo
Ossoff, 9.5+ pts+0.2pt100%Ossoff, 11+ pts100%Ossoff, 9+ pts+0.1pt100%+24 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$394.4K
53 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
AZ-02 House winner?
16.0 pt (24h)1mo
Eli Crane+16.0pt90%Jonathan Nez-18.0pt10%High quality (90)Moderate spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$392.9K
KALSHI
Red wave in 2026?
2mo
Yes1%
No99%
Medium quality (71)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1.8M
24h Vol$297.9K
KALSHI
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
3.0 pt (24h)7mo
Magdalena Andersson+3.0pt71.3%
Ulf Kristersson-0.8pt26.7%
Ebba Busch-0.7pt2%+7 more outcomes
High quality (81)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$10.9M
24h Vol$42.1K
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
6.0 pt (24h)1mo
Yes41.6%-6.0pt
No58.4%+6.0pt
High quality (79)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.6M
24h Vol$309.9K
1 hour agoPOLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
0.8 pt (24h)2mo
Yes99%-0.8pt
No1%
High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$3.3M
24h Vol$116.1K
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI