Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
0.3 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS Politics3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before January 20, 2029 25%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$5.5M
High liquiditySpread
0.2 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 8, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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PolymarketRules
If Donald Trump leaves office the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- An announcement that the President will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- An acknowledgement by Donald Trump that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Donald Trump leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)?
- Kalshi prices Before January 20, 2029 at 25% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) resolve?
- Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald Trump leaves office the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.