Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
0.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS Politics6d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore August 1, 2026 1%+0.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$66.3K
Liquidity
$5.3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.3%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Feb 12, 26, 1:00 AMAug 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before August 1, 20261%
Large trades
$2.4k73.0%KALSHIBefore January 20, 2029 — No16h ago
KALSHIBefore January 20, 2029 — No16h ago$1.9k99.9%KALSHIBefore August 1, 2026 — No4d ago
KALSHIBefore August 1, 2026 — No4d ago$1.2k99.9%KALSHIBefore August 1, 2026 — No4d ago
KALSHIBefore August 1, 2026 — No4d ago$2.0k98.9%KALSHIBefore August 1, 2026 — No20d ago
KALSHIBefore August 1, 2026 — No20d ago$4.7k94.3%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No22d ago
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No22d ago$1.3k94.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No22d ago
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No22d agoVolume trend
$66.3kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Donald Trump leaves office before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.