KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Republican Party 53%
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$11.6K
Liquidity
$4.3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 53.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Nov 6, 24, 3:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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LimitlessRules
If the the named outcome has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate.
- See full rules for details.
- Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the U.S. Senate??
- Kalshi prices Republican Party at 53% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the U.S. Senate? resolve?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is Which party will win the U.S. Senate? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the the named outcome has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.