Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
12.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionMiddle EastChessSports1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityNaftali Bennett 30%-12.0%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16.9
Liquidity
$183.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
29.0% / 40.0%
Spread
37.9%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Apr 11, 26, 12:00 AMOct 27, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Naftali Bennett30%
Also available on PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
62%
41%
8%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITRules
If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion:
- The person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention.
- They must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government.
- The appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election.
- Serving as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion:
- The person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention.
- They must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government.
- The appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election.
- Serving as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.