KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democratic Party · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Democratic Party 90.2%
Democratic Party 90.2%Market quality
98 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.4M
Open interest
$40.5M
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Democratic PartySpread
—
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Nov 6, 24, 3:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Democratic Party
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2028 House winner
KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Colorado's 5th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina's 3rd District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Arizona's 4th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington's 5th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in the 2026 election?
PredictItRules
If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
Rules for each outcome
- Democratic Party
- If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican Party
- If the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Democratic Party is 91%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Democratic Party 91% · 3 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 91%
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 90%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms · Democratic Party 89%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 91%
