KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 84%-2.0pt
Market quality
98 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$873.4K
Liquidity
$16.5M
High liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 6, 24, 3:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the the named outcome has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House.
- See full rules for details.
- Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Democratic Party 85% · 4 venues · 4 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 84%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 88%
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 87%
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 84%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the U.S. House??
- Kalshi prices Democratic Party at 84% as of August 27, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the U.S. House? resolve?
- Which party will win the U.S. House? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is Which party will win the U.S. House? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the the named outcome has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Which party will win the U.S. House? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Limitless, Polymarket, PredictIt.