KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRepublican Party 19%+1.0%
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$31.3K
Liquidity
$10.9M
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Nov 6, 24, 3:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican Party19%
Compare venues· Democratic Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall67% match · linked | High | 84% | +2pt | $36.2K | $548.8K | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | High | 82% | 0pt | $31.3K | $10.9M | 8 minutes ago | |
 Limitless67% match · verified | Low | 50% | -32pt | $0 | $0 | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
 PredictIt65% match · linked | — | 79% | -3pt | — | — | 7 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Which party will win the House in 2026?
3mo
84%
17%
0%
+6 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$8.4M
24h Vol$36.2K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Limitless
Which party will win the House in 2026?
3mo
50%
15.1%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on PredictIt
Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?
2.0%
+2.0%79%
24%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
- If the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$31.3kJul 212d of dataJul 13
Related Markets
2028 House winner
$22.1Republican party: 25%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$999.4KJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$762.5KGavin Newsom: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$292.4KRobert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$113.7KJames Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$94.9KErika Kirk: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.NewsRules
If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
- If the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.