KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRepublican Party 19%+1.0%
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$30.8K
Liquidity
$10.9M
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Nov 6, 24, 3:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Republican Party19%
Compare venues· Democratic Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall67% match · linked | High | 84% | +2pt | $36.5K | $562.1K | 5 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | High | 82% | 0pt | $30.8K | $10.9M | 1 minute ago | |
 Limitless67% match · verified | Low | 50% | -32pt | $0 | $0 | 1 minute ago | Open → |
 PredictIt65% match · linked | — | 79% | -3pt | — | — | 1 minute ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Which party will win the House in 2026?
3mo
84%
17%
0%
+6 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$8.4M
24h Vol$36.5K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Limitless
Which party will win the House in 2026?
3mo
50%
15.1%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on PredictIt
Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?
2.0%
+2.0%79%
24%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
- If the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$30.8kJul 212d of dataJul 13
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If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
- If the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.