PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Democratic 84%
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$264
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Rules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 general election.
- A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
For purposes of resolving this market, delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House shall not be considered.
In the event that no party wins a majority of seats, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Democratic Party 85% · 4 venues · 4 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 87%
- Also available on Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 84%
- Also available on Gemini — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 84%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 88%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt60.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.3pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $134.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party+1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $26M
- 24h Vol
- $874.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.3%
- Jon Ossoff17.3%
- Gavin Newsom12.5%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $194.5M
- 24h Vol
- $668.1K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.8pt24.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt14.4%
- Marco Rubio11.3%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.7pt76%
- October 3160%
- September 30-3.0pt38%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez21%
- Jon Ossoff+1.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.3pt15%
+48 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the House in the 2026 election??
- PredictIt prices Democratic at 84% as of August 27, 2026.
- How is Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? settled?
- PredictIt settles this market as follows: The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 general election.
- Where else is Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini, Limitless.