PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Democratic 90%
Democratic 90%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$2.2K
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 15, 25, 1:47 PM UTCJan 21, 28, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the U.S. House?
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KalshiRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 general election.
- A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
For purposes of resolving this market, delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House shall not be considered.
In the event that no party wins a majority of seats, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
4 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Democratic Party is 90%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Democratic Party 90% · 4 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 90%
- Also available on Gemini — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 89%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms · Democratic Party 89%
- Also available on Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 91%
- Also available on Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House?
