Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopoliticsMiddle East3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
July 18 100%+0.3ptLeader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$72.3K
Liquidity
$248.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
265
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 16, 26, 11:11 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 8:29 PM UTC
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FutuurRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
