PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityJuly 18 100%+0.3%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$386K
High liquidityBid / Ask
76.0% / 77.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spread7d Change
-4.0%
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jul 16, 26, 11:11 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
July 2399%
Large trades
$4.3k94.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesNeon-Gargoyle5m ago
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesNeon-Gargoyle5m ago$1.3k71.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? — YesDistant-Inhibitor3h ago
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? — YesDistant-Inhibitor3h ago$2.9k95.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesCaptainCoinflip3h ago
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesCaptainCoinflip3h ago$2.4k24.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgraini7h ago
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgraini7h ago$1.0k25.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — No8dcc906a9b9h ago
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — No8dcc906a9b9h ago$3.8k75.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — YesSkinny-Class12h ago
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — YesSkinny-Class12h ago$1.4k88.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesRequired-Spit15h ago
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesRequired-Spit15h ago$1.6k29.7%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgraini15h ago
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgraini15h agoVolume trend
$1.1MJul 178d of dataJul 24
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.