Which of the following things will happen in the 2026 USA/Israel vs. Iran conflict by the end of 2026?
Middle EastGeopoliticsOne-Off2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIsrael and Iran go to war 100%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 28, 26, 7:33 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of the following things happen in relation to the Texas Senate Election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following things will happen in 2026 as a result of the US Attack on Venezuela?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these things will happen in relation to Ilhan Omar in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these things will happen in 2026 in the US/Greenland saga?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.