PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
20-24 37.1%+3.5ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$6.7K
Liquidity
$63.8K
High liquiditySpread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
2
7d Change
-3.1 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 11:58 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel Election: Likud # of seats??
- Polymarket prices 20-24 at 37% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Israel Election: Likud # of seats? resolve?
- Israel Election: Likud # of seats? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026.
- How is Israel Election: Likud # of seats? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.