Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65%
Forecasters
38
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 2, 23, 4:20 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the next prime minister is from the Likud.
- The Likud is Netanhayu's party, but currently there are rumors of dissent within his own party, so this includes not only the probability of Netanyahu being the next prime minister but also anyone who might supplant him if he resigns or is ousted in the primary.
- Elections are scheduled for October 2026 but will most likely happen sooner.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Likud win the next Israeli election?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Likud win the next Israeli election resolve?
- Will the Likud win the next Israeli election is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Will the Likud win the next Israeli election settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the next prime minister is from the Likud.