Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.9%
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40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 2, 23, 4:20 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many seats will Likud win in the 2026 Israel legislative elections?
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Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiWhich bloc will win a Knesset majority?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the next prime minister is from the Likud.
- The Likud is Netanhayu's party, but currently there are rumors of dissent within his own party, so this includes not only the probability of Netanyahu being the next prime minister but also anyone who might supplant him if he resigns or is ousted in the primary.
- Elections are scheduled for October 2026 but will most likely happen sooner.