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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Middle East

Middle East

497 related markets tracked across sources for Middle East.

Open Markets

373

Total Volume

$1,034,769,142

24h Volume

$22,458,010

Total Liquidity

$28,489,271

Open Markets

373

Total Volume

$1,034,769,142

24h Volume

$22,458,010

Total Liquidity

$28,489,271

Related Topics

Regulation

Topics

Crypto

Bitcoin564

Politics

Middle East373Geopolitics262Politics4127Election3206US Politics2335Latin America470

Macro

Fed113Commodities137Corporate Actions213

Sports

Sports6238Soccer3129Basketball416Baseball698Esports408Tennis668FIFA World Cup977American Football302Motorsport92

Tech

Tech619

Science

Space133

Theme

Exchange541Stablecoin421

Entity

Binance409

Related Crypto Assets

BitcoinBTCEthereumETHSolanaSOLBitcoinBTC
BitcoinBTCEthereumETHSolanaSOLBitcoinBTC

Related News

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsYear-end odds on Israel–Indonesia ties shift in PolymarketBlockchain.NewsUS Sanctions Iran’s Nobitex Crypto Exchange Over Sanctions EvasionBlockchain.NewsBitcoin falls below $66K as US and Iran launch new strikesCointelegraphUS Treasury issues sanctions on Iran, targets 4 crypto exchangesCointelegraph

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

0.3%6mo
December 31
December 31
-1.0%67%
October 31
October 31
-1.5%57%
August 31
August 31
43%

+14 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$281.3M
24h Vol$4M
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

5.3%
July 31
July 31
-9.0%56%
June 30
June 30
-8.0%35%
June 15
June 15
-3.0%16%

+14 more outcomes

77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$36.2M
24h Vol$4.2M
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

0.3%18d
Yes
Yes
2%
No
No
98%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$51.6M
24h Vol$634.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

3.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%22%
No
No
-0.0%79%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$35.3M
24h Vol$380.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

2.0%18d
Yes
Yes
-0.0%8%
No
No
+0.0%93%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$16.7M
24h Vol$765.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

3.5%18d
July 31
July 31
-5.0%54%
June 30
June 30
-4.0%34%
June 15
June 15
-3.5%8%

+14 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$30.7M
24h Vol$369.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

0.4%3d
Yes
Yes
1%
No
No
99%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.5M
24h Vol$1.4M
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

6mo
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
+5.5%40%
Gadi Eizenkot
Gadi Eizenkot
27%
Naftali Bennett
Naftali Bennett
-4.0%24%

+25 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14.6M
24h Vol$214.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

6mo
December 31
December 31
+1.5%51%
June 30
June 30
2%
March 31
March 31
0%

+2 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$122.1M
24h Vol$49.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

0.1%6mo
December 31
December 31
19%
July 31
July 31
12%
June 30
June 30
+0.1%3%

+3 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$26M
24h Vol$208.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

2.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%14%
No
No
-0.0%86%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$19.8M
24h Vol$195.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

0.1%18d
December 31
December 31
+1.0%12%
June 30
June 30
-0.1%1%
February 28
February 28
0%

+4 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$20.7M
24h Vol$182.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

2.0%6mo
December 31
December 31
-4.0%34%
July 31
July 31
-2.0%18%
June 30
June 30
-4.5%6%

+2 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14.4M
24h Vol$183.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

5.1%18d
No Meeting by June 30
No Meeting by June 30
+5.1%68%
Pakistan
Pakistan
-4.3%8%
Switzerland
Switzerland
-1.6%7%

+16 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.4M
24h Vol$76K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

3.0%18d
Yes
Yes
-0.0%17%
No
No
+0.0%84%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$6.7M
24h Vol$244.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

2.3%6mo
Mojtaba Khamenei
Mojtaba Khamenei
-2.3%68%
Reza Pahlavi
Reza Pahlavi
6%
No Head of State
No Head of State
+0.1%4%

+120 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14.4M
24h Vol$19.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

0.9%6mo
December 31
December 31
+1.5%30%
June 30
June 30
+0.9%5%
March 31
March 31
0%

+3 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$17.3M
24h Vol$51.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

3.0%1mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%26%
No
No
+0.0%75%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.6M
24h Vol$235.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4.6%19d
June 30
June 30
+12.0%31%
June 15
June 15
+6.0%18%
June 12
June 12
+4.6%9%

+1 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.5M
24h Vol$941.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

2.8%18d
September 30
September 30
+11.0%34%
June 30
June 30
+2.8%14%
June 22
June 22
+3.0%13%

+4 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.3M
24h Vol$145.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

2.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%64%
No
No
+0.0%36%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2M
24h Vol$108.9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

2.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%74%
No
No
+0.0%27%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$935.2K
24h Vol$131.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

6mo
4
4
+7.5%42%
5
5
-4.3%36%
6
6
+0.1%7%

+13 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.8M
24h Vol$5.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

0.3%6mo
Yes
Yes
10%
No
No
90%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$900.3K
24h Vol$59.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1.4%18d
Yes
Yes
+0.0%3%
No
No
-0.0%97%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.7M
24h Vol$140.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

14.9%
December 31
December 31
-5.5%73%
July 31
July 31
+22.0%62%
August 31
August 31
-15.0%62%

+9 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$734.1K
24h Vol$686.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

0.7%6mo
December 31,
December 31,
+0.5%11%
June 30,
June 30,
+0.7%2%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.4M
24h Vol$82.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

2.5%18d
Yes
Yes
-0.0%11%
No
No
+0.0%90%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.2M
24h Vol$103.9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

10.5%19d
20+
20+
-10.5%24%
40+
40+
-11.5%13%
60+
60+
-3.5%10%

+1 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$155.6K
24h Vol$26.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

0.1%6mo
Yes
Yes
6%
No
No
94%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$11.4M
24h Vol$3.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

0.5%18d
June 30
June 30
+0.5%27%
March 31
March 31
+4.0%0%
May 31
May 31
0%

+2 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.1M
24h Vol$27.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
IR Iran vs. New Zealand

IR Iran vs. New Zealand

5d
IR Iran
IR Iran
52%
Draw (IR Iran vs. New Zealand)
Draw (IR Iran vs. New Zealand)
28%
New Zealand
New Zealand
21%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$93.6K
24h Vol$6.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay

1.0%4d
Uruguay
Uruguay
-1.0%68%
Draw (Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay)
Draw (Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay)
22%
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
12%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$63.2K
24h Vol$9.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

0.2%18d
Yes
Yes
4%
No
No
96%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.6M
24h Vol$20.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

3.3%19d
June 30,
June 30,
-3.3%10%
December 31
December 31
-0.2%0%
November 30
November 30
-0.3%0%

+2 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.9M
24h Vol$16.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets

IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets

2.0%5d
O/U 0.5
O/U 0.5
-0.5%90%
O/U 1.5
O/U 1.5
67%
1st Half O/U 0.5
1st Half O/U 0.5
-13.5%65%

+30 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$26.9K
24h Vol$18.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay - More Markets

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay - More Markets

4d
O/U 0.5
O/U 0.5
+0.5%93%
Uruguay O/U 0.5
Uruguay O/U 0.5
+37.0%87%
O/U 1.5
O/U 1.5
73%

+30 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$16.5K
24h Vol$10.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1.0%18d
United States
United States
+4.0%37%
UAE
UAE
+15.5%28%
Pakistan
Pakistan
20%

+16 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$167.3K
24h Vol$38.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia

0.3%10d
Spain
Spain
88%
Draw (Spain vs. Saudi Arabia)
Draw (Spain vs. Saudi Arabia)
9%
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
+0.3%4%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$24.4K
24h Vol$6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

4.0%1mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%31%
No
No
+0.0%70%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$214.9K
24h Vol$14.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

0.1%18d
Steve Witkoff
Steve Witkoff
-0.1%28%
Jared Kushner
Jared Kushner
-4.0%23%
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
-0.3%13%

+2 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$1.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

0.7%18d
Lebanon
Lebanon
-0.1%4%
Syria
Syria
+0.1%2%
Tunisia
Tunisia
+0.1%2%

+12 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$429.5K
24h Vol$4.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

2.5%18d
Yes
Yes
-0.0%12%
No
No
+0.0%89%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$117.3K
24h Vol$14K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

9.0%19d
0-10
0-10
+9.0%79%
10-20
10-20
-3.0%10%
20-40
20-40
+0.5%7%

+2 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$42.6K
24h Vol$9.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

18d
July 31
July 31
12%
June 30
June 30
5%
April 30
April 30
-0.3%0%

+1 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.4M
24h Vol$2.9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

0.5%6mo
Lebanon
Lebanon
+2.0%22%
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
12%
Indonesia
Indonesia
12%

+13 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$60.8K
24h Vol$2.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

0.1%6mo
December 31
December 31
+1.0%30%
June 30
June 30
-0.1%5%
March 31
March 31
+1.0%0%

+1 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$766.9K
24h Vol$2.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

1.1%1mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%97%
No
No
+0.0%4%
88 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$481.9K
24h Vol$19.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET