Middle East
1089 related markets tracked across sources for Middle East.
Open Markets
402
Total Volume
$2,411,021,544
24h Volume
$8,696,572
Total Liquidity
$56,284,745
Related Crypto Assets
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
4.0%1mo
+4.0%54%
+4.0%50%
+7.0%47%
+11 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$31.1M
24h Vol$284.5K
KALSHI
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5mo
+2.6%51%
-3.0%34%
-1.0%6%
+25 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceGadi Eisenkot53%· ±50 pts
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$29.6M
24h Vol$517.7K
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5.0%5mo
+0.1%77%
-0.1%24%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$47.8M
24h Vol$552.7K
POLYMARKET
Iran leader end of 2026?
5.8%5mo
+5.8%79%
-3.0%5%
-0.6%4%
+120 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$35M
24h Vol$331.2K
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
4.0%1mo
+0.3%100%
+0.1%100%
+0.5%100%
+11 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$8.1M
24h Vol$2.7M
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
0.2%4d
99%
1%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$20.9M
24h Vol$448.9K
POLYMARKET
Iran leadership change by which date?
2.0%5mo
-2.0%39%
-5.0%23%
-5.0%12%
+7 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceDecember 3123%· ±7 pts
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$20.8M
24h Vol$247.1K
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
1mo
+2.0%32%
+2.5%16%
7%
+4 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.1M
24h Vol$165.4K
POLYMARKET
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5mo
91%
10%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$23.1M
24h Vol$57.9K
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
2.0%5mo
57%
+1.0%46%
+7.0%26%
+9 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14.8M
24h Vol$22.1K
KALSHI
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
23.8%1mo
+8.0%62%
+16.0%52%
+22.0%40%
+2 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.6M
24h Vol$846.6K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
3.0%1mo
-0.0%85%
+0.0%16%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.7M
24h Vol$601K
POLYMARKET
Netanyahu out by which date?
5mo
44%
0%
0%
+3 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$123.7M
24h Vol$7.3K
POLYMARKET
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by which date?
3.5%5d
-6.0%10%
-3.5%3%
-1.4%0%
+5 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$8.3M
24h Vol$122.2K
POLYMARKET
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
2mo
11%
7%
-1.7%6%
+68 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceYulia Navalnaya7%· ±4 pts
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$22.9M
24h Vol$7.9K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
4.0%5mo
+0.0%56%
-0.0%45%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6M
24h Vol$157.2K
POLYMARKET
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
0.4%5mo
-1.0%13%
+1.0%8%
-0.4%1%
+4 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$28.7M
24h Vol$23.6K
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
18.5%1mo
-17.5%31%
-21.0%24%
-18.5%10%
+5 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.3M
24h Vol$220.4K
POLYMARKET
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
1.0%5mo
-1.0%13%
7%
4%
+4 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$17.5M
24h Vol$23.5K
POLYMARKET
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
1.0%5d
+3.0%44%
+4.5%28%
+1.0%7%
+5 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.3M
24h Vol$49K
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
7.5%2mo
-7.5%26%
25%
14%
+16 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.1M
24h Vol$21.4K
POLYMARKET
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
19.0%1mo
+9.0%75%
+5.5%60%
+19.0%39%
+3 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$135.8K
POLYMARKET
Iran military action against a gulf state on?
35.0%5d
100%
+24.4%100%
+5.0%100%
+20 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.3M
24h Vol$71.1K
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
7.0%1mo
+14.5%60%
+8.5%39%
+7.0%22%
+2 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$127.4K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
5.0%2mo
-0.1%73%
+0.1%28%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$665.1K
24h Vol$145.4K
POLYMARKETWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
0.7%2mo
+0.0%97%
-0.0%3%
CoinRithm reference3%· ±3 pts
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$44.5K
POLYMARKETWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.5%5d
+18.1%100%
+3.5%13%
+2.9%8%
+4 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$35.1K
POLYMARKET
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
3.0%8d
+2.0%90%
-1.0%88%
+18.0%83%
+11 more outcomes
77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$451.6K
24h Vol$118K
KALSHI
Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
3.0%1mo
-2.0%63%
-1.0%55%
-3.0%34%
+2 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$12.1K
POLYMARKET
Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
0.3%1mo
-0.1%3%
-0.3%1%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$567K
24h Vol$16.2K
POLYMARKET
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
1.0%5mo
-1.0%25%
+0.5%13%
0%
+1 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$906.1K
24h Vol$7.9K
POLYMARKET
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
1.1%5mo
-0.5%24%
+0.1%16%
+5.5%14%
+9 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1M
24h Vol$5K
POLYMARKET
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
2.5%5d
-2.5%12%
+0.5%2%
-0.5%1%
+5 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$461.5K
24h Vol$9.7K
POLYMARKET
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
5mo
+0.5%70%
-1.5%16%
+0.1%4%
+12 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$188.9K
24h Vol$8.3K
POLYMARKET
Crude Oil all time high by which date?
3.0%5mo
-3.0%14%
-1.5%7%
-0.4%0%
+1 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.1M
24h Vol$42.1K
POLYMARKET
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
4.0%5mo
-4.0%45%
+4.0%13%
-7.5%13%
+4 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$139K
24h Vol$13.9K
POLYMARKETAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
1.1%5d
+1.1%95%
-0.5%5%
-0.6%1%
+2 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$247K
24h Vol$8.8K
POLYMARKET
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
0.2%5mo
+3.2%43%
-0.6%43%
+0.7%9%
+13 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.3M
24h Vol$2.2K
POLYMARKET
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by which date?
2.8%5d
-10.5%13%
-2.8%2%
-0.4%0%
+4 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$22.2K
POLYMARKETIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
3.0%5mo
-0.0%75%
+0.0%26%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$18.1K
POLYMARKET
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by which date?
0.4%
-3.0%32%
+1.5%11%
-0.4%2%
+2 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$939.5K
24h Vol$14.9K
POLYMARKET
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
12.0%25d
+0.1%54%
-0.1%47%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$737.5K
24h Vol$19.4K
POLYMARKET
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
0.1%5d
+73.0%100%
+38.1%100%
+83.5%100%
+17 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2M
24h Vol$1.9K
POLYMARKET
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
5mo
4%
1%
0%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$1.3K
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
23.0%2d
99%
-4.0%92%
+1.0%76%
+7 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$153.4K
24h Vol$40.5K
KALSHI
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
4.3%5d
-4.3%5%
-0.1%0%
-0.5%0%
+1 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$419.9K
24h Vol$11.1K
POLYMARKET
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
7.5%5mo
-1.0%29%
-2.0%29%
-1.5%29%
+3 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$386.4K
24h Vol$5.2K
POLYMARKET
When will Trump and Netanyahu meet?
6d
96%
2%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$175.3K
24h Vol$15K
KALSHI