PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$14.2K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$14.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
2
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Mar 6, 26, 2:48 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
KalshiWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiWill the United States open an embassy in Iran before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by which date?
PolymarketU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
- Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.