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U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffGeopolitics Middle East18d

PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

Current implied probability

Yes

Yes 5%

Market quality

61 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$18.1K

Liquidity

$15.5K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

4.6% / 5.2%

Spread

13.0%

Wide spread

7d Change

+0.9%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

May 26, 26, 5:13 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes5%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S.

Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S.

Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.