PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 5:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 4%
December 31 4%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$10.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.3K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
May 26, 26, 5:03 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
June 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel military action against Beirut by which date?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
KalshiU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by which date?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.