Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?
CommoditiesOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
November 30 51%Leader of 3 outcomes
November 30 51%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$23.4K
Liquidity
$64.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 9:04 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the East-West oil pipeline is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The East-West oil pipeline refers to Saudi Arabia’s East-West crude oil pipeline (also known as Petroline), which carries crude oil from Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, including its pumping stations.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike that impacts the East-West oil pipeline.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
