PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 9%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31 9%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$43.3K
High liquidityOpen interest
$354.3K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
118
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 8:08 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
January 31Lost
March 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the highest level of U.S. military action against Cuba by the end of January 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States conduct a military strike against Cuba in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a P5 nation veto a 2026 UNSCR about US military action in Venezuela or its vessels?
Manifold MarketsMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
- A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
