PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
James Talarico (D) 64.4%+1.0pt
James Talarico (D) 64.4%+1.0ptMarket quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$142.1K
Liquidity
$760.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
35.0% / 36.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
137
7d Change
-4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 9:28 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketTexas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
PolymarketTexas Senate Election: Denton County Winner
PolymarketTexas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
PolymarketTexas Senate Winner by Margin of Libertarian Candidate Vote Count
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for James Talarico (D) is 65%. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference James Talarico (D) 65% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Texas Senate Race · Democrat 68%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? · Yes 64%
- Also available on Smarkets — Texas Senate Election Winner · Democrat 57%
- Also available on Gemini — Texas US Senate Winner · James Talarico 65%
- Also available on Kalshi — Texas Senate winner? · James Talarico 66%
