Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
One-OffPoliticsElectionRussia / UkraineEuropeGeopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedUnverified resolution data: United Russia (ER)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 22, 2026, 7:22 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
United Russia (ER)100%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)2%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2%
New People (NL)1%
Rodina1%
Civic Platform (GP)0%
Yabloko0%
United Russia (ER)Won
Before close: 100% ·
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Lost
Before close: 0% ·
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)Lost
Before close: 0% ·
New People (NL)Lost
Before close: 0% ·
RodinaLost
Before close: 0% ·
Civic Platform (GP)Lost
Before close: 0% ·
YablokoLost
Before close: 0% ·
Rules
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
- If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
