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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

1.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElection3mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
United Russia (ER)
United Russia (ER) 56%+1.5%
Leader of 34 outcomes
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$122.4K

Liquidity

$680.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

55.0% / 57.0%

Spread

3.6%

Moderate spread
7d Change

+1.0%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 7, 26, 9:35 PMSep 20, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Rodina
Rodina
0%

Selected outcome

United Russia (ER)56%

Rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
  • If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes.
  • In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
  • This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

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Rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
  • If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes.
  • In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
  • This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.