PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
December 31 3%Leader of 7 outcomes
December 31 3%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$86.8K
Liquidity
$846.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
December 31Spread
—
Comments
1,728
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Nov 25, 25, 6:05 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
April 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
March 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
May 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · December 31
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? · September 30 50%