Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffScienceUS Politics4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 4%-0.1ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$149.8K
Liquidity
$845.1K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
1,686
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 25, 25, 6:05 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference December 31 4% · 2 venues · 46 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? · December 31 50%
- Also available on Kalshi — Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist? · Before Jan 20, 2029 23%
