Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.6%
Forecasters
98
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 26, 8:05 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve YES if someone in the government of the US (someone that represents the US, such as the President) publicly confirms that aliens exist before 2027.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? resolve?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve YES if someone in the government of the US (someone that represents the US, such as the President) publicly confirms that aliens exist before 2027.