Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.2%
Forecasters
101
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 26, 8:05 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve YES if someone in the government of the US (someone that represents the US, such as the President) publicly confirms that aliens exist before 2027.