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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Science

Science

112 related markets tracked across sources for Science.

Open Markets

103

Total Volume

$73,757,791

24h Volume

$1,458,375

Total Liquidity

$3,629,994

Open Markets

103

Total Volume

$73,757,791

24h Volume

$1,458,375

Total Liquidity

$3,629,994

Related Topics

Health & MedicineSpaceAIBusiness & Corporate

Topics

Crypto

Bitcoin574

Politics

Middle East372Geopolitics264Politics4132Election3210US Politics2332Latin America467

Macro

Fed113Commodities142Corporate Actions216

Sports

Sports6213Soccer3127Baseball592Basketball409Esports441FIFA World Cup1020Tennis682American Football303

Tech

Tech629

Science

Science103

Weather

Weather268

Theme

Exchange559Stablecoin430

Entity

Binance418

Related News

Anthropic’s Claude Tackles Chemistry with NMR Structure AnalysisBlockchain.NewsQuantus’ Q-Day Brings Together Leading Cryptographers, Blockchain Builders, Investors, and Researchers to Prepare for the Post-Quantum FutureBlockchain Reporter
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

3.0%6mo
December 31
December 31
-3.0%11%
September 30
September 30
6%
June 30
June 30
-0.1%1%

+3 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$52.2M
24h Vol$1.4M
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
20.8%
Manifold Markets
No
79.2%
Community forecast149 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$187.6K
24h Vol$3.8K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3.0%6mo
2
2
+1.5%63%
1
1
-3.0%28%
4
4
+0.1%5%

+3 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.9M
24h Vol$4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

0.3%6mo
Before 2027
Before 2027
+0.3%14%
Before July 2026
Before July 2026
-1.0%1%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 20, 2029
27%

+2 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$257.4K
24h Vol$1.2K
KalshiKALSHI
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

0.3%6mo
Yes
Yes
5%
No
No
95%
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$635.9K
24h Vol$3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

0.3%6mo
11–13
11–13
+2.0%36%
14–16
14–16
+0.5%36%
17–19
17–19
-2.0%17%

+4 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$590.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

1.3%18d
≤8
≤8
+2.5%49%
9
9
-5.0%25%
10
10
15%

+4 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$106K
24h Vol$747.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

1mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
80%
Manifold Markets
No
20%
Community forecast402 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$206.3K
24h Vol$342.8
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

3y
Manifold Markets
Yes
57.7%
Manifold Markets
No
42.3%
Community forecast689 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$660K
24h Vol$193.2
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which geographical areas will Tomorrow Bio cover at the end of 2026?

Which geographical areas will Tomorrow Bio cover at the end of 2026?

6mo
🇨🇦 Canada
🇨🇦 Canada
23.9%
🇬🇱 Greenland
🇬🇱 Greenland
15.3%
🇮🇸 Iceland
🇮🇸 Iceland
15.3%

+11 more outcomes

Community forecast3 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$2.5K
24h Vol$1.2K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1.2%18d
2nd hottest
2nd hottest
+2.0%86%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest
+0.6%8%
1st hottest
1st hottest
-1.2%6%

+1 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$38.4K
24h Vol$234.8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

1.4%3mo
<4m
<4m
+4.0%50%
4.0-4.2m
4.0-4.2m
+1.4%27%
4.2-4.4m
4.2-4.4m
-0.5%13%

+4 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$54.2K
24h Vol$109.8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

0.1%18d
Yes
Yes
2%
No
No
98%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$31K
24h Vol$128.9
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026

19d
Manifold Markets
432 or less
0.4%
Manifold Markets
432.0001-432.25
0.4%
Manifold Markets
432.2501-432.5
95.2%

+7 more outcomes

Community forecast6 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$10.6K
24h Vol$980
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be a Metagame 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
96.1%
Manifold Markets
No
3.9%
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$6.5K
24h Vol$500
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will I make IMO in 2028

2y
Manifold Markets
Yes
39.5%
Manifold Markets
No
60.5%
Community forecast21 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$303.7
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

2y
Manifold Markets
Yes
96%
Manifold Markets
No
4%
Community forecast996 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$10.3M
24h Vol$90
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

0.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%6%
No
No
94%
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$119.6K
24h Vol$15.7
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035

8y
Manifold Markets
Yes
41.9%
Manifold Markets
No
58.1%
Community forecast85 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$22.3K
24h Vol$105
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?

1y
Manifold Markets
Yes
53.4%
Manifold Markets
No
46.6%
Community forecast50 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$13.1K
24h Vol$104.7
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0.1%9mo
0
0
+2.0%67%
1
1
21%
2
2
+0.3%5%

+3 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$2.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

0.5%1mo
Hong Wang
Hong Wang
-0.5%83%
John Pardon
John Pardon
+0.5%65%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman
-4.5%62%

+8 more outcomes

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$532.5K
24h Vol$65.3
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

10mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
20.2%
Manifold Markets
No
79.8%
Community forecast32 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$3.4K
24h Vol$200
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

0.1%6mo
Yes
Yes
7%
No
No
94%
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$224.9K
24h Vol$91.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?

1y
Manifold Markets
Yes
51%
Manifold Markets
No
49%
Community forecast29 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$215.4
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

18d
Yes
Yes
2%
No
No
98%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$120.3K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9mo
Yes
Yes
10%
No
No
91%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$95.2K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

1.0%18d
Yes
Yes
+0.0%8%
No
No
-0.0%92%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$78.5K
24h Vol$2.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

0.2%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.2%3%
No
No
97%
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$13.9K
24h Vol$38.4
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will I receive a score on the TSTST high enough to qualify for the TST

9d
Manifold Markets
Yes
52.9%
Manifold Markets
No
47.1%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$866.4
24h Vol$308.5
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

0.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%25%
No
No
76%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$222.6K
24h Vol$32.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

5.0%6mo
Uganda
Uganda
+37.5%100%
Kenya
Kenya
+19.5%78%
South Sudan
South Sudan
+2.5%67%

+10 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$14.9K
24h Vol$69.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?

2y
Manifold Markets
Yes
30%
Manifold Markets
No
70%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2.7K
24h Vol$109
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
What will happen at IMO 2026? (add your questions!!)

What will happen at IMO 2026? (add your questions!!)

1mo
At least 1/2 of all contestants receive at least bronze
At least 1/2 of all contestants receive at least bronze
55.7%
At least 1/4 of all contestants receive at least silver
At least 1/4 of all contestants receive at least silver
58.3%
At least 1/12 of all contestants receive at least gold
At least 1/12 of all contestants receive at least gold
60%

+28 more outcomes

Community forecast76 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$8.9K
24h Vol$21.7
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

6mo
Manifold Markets
March 2026
0.4%
Manifold Markets
April 2026
0.4%
Manifold Markets
May 2026
0.4%

+8 more outcomes

Community forecast11 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.1K
24h Vol$118.4
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will AI solve one of 129 major mathematical conjectures before year X?

23y
Manifold Markets
2026
0%
Manifold Markets
2027
20.7%
Manifold Markets
2028
51.2%

+12 more outcomes

Community forecast31 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$5.9K
24h Vol$87
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

2.9%6mo
Yes
Yes
-2.9%15%
No
No
85%
71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$6.2K
24h Vol$37.9
KalshiKALSHI
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

3.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%16%
No
No
-0.0%85%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$8.3K
24h Vol$1.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

2.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%8%
No
No
+0.0%92%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$12.3K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
82%
No
No
19%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.5K
24h Vol$12.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?

7mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
74.8%
Manifold Markets
No
25.2%
Community forecast12 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2.1K
24h Vol$57
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

2.0%6mo
Kenya
Kenya
+2.0%55%
Republic of the Congo
Republic of the Congo
-5.0%10%
United States
United States
23%

+14 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$14.5
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will I be able to purchase a robot that folds my laundry for me by the end of 2030?

4y
Manifold Markets
Yes
81.3%
Manifold Markets
No
18.7%
Community forecast24 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$50
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

2.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
+2.0%7%
No
No
93%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.9K
24h Vol$10
KalshiKALSHI
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

5.0%1mo
Antares Nuclear
Antares Nuclear
+5.0%97%
Atomic Alchemy
Atomic Alchemy
-18.0%50%
Radiant Industries
Radiant Industries
10%

+7 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$1.9
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will ASI be achieved less than a year after continual learning?

6y
Manifold Markets
Yes
33%
Manifold Markets
No
67%
Community forecast12 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$656.6
24h Vol$71.6
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
13%
Manifold Markets
No
87%
Community forecast23 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$7K
24h Vol$75
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?

1y
Manifold Markets
Yes
42%
Manifold Markets
No
58%
Community forecast23 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$5K
24h Vol$61.9
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS