Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 25%
Forecasters
2,217
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Sep 1, 22, 3:51 AMJan 1, 40, 8:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes25%
Volume trend
$252Jul 119d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
$50Yes: 10.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
$100Yes: 20.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
$0South Sudan: 67.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
$2.7KRepublic of the Congo: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$1.5KUganda: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
$209Yes: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.