Health & Medicine | Prediction Markets

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

0.3 pts5mo

97%

Yes

90 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$17.1M

24h Vol$26.3K

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

1.5 pts5mo

-0.0pt92%

Yes

+0.0pt8%

CoinRithm reference5%· 3 pt range

77 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$946.7K

24h Vol$25.3K

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

5mo

↑500

+0.1pt100%

↑1k

+0.1pt100%

↑2k

+0.2pt100%

+7 more outcomes

66 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$7.8M

24h Vol$2.4K

POLYMARKET

# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

10h

21–22M

99%

22–23M

<18M

+4 more outcomes

58 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$33.9K

24h Vol$33.9K

POLYMARKET

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

7.0 pts5mo

Uganda

99%

South Sudan

54%

Burundi

-3.0pt27%

+14 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceUganda99%· 1 pt range

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$326.9K

24h Vol$1.2K

KALSHI

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

5mo

Above 0

25%

Above 1

+3.0pt16%

Above 2

13%

+3 more outcomes

60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$116.1K

24h Vol$1.1K

KALSHI

Measles cases in 2026?

1.0 pts5mo

Above 1500

99%

Above 1750

99%

Above 2000

99%

+5 more outcomes

72 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$817.6K

24h Vol$775.7

KALSHI

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

0.1 pts5mo

96%

Yes

CoinRithm reference4%· 0 pt range

78 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$669.7K

24h Vol$413.3

POLYMARKET

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

1.0 pts5mo

57%

Yes

+1.0pt43%

71 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$355.3K

24h Vol$629.8

KALSHI

CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?

12.0 pts2d

<87.5%

+0.5pt55%

87.5%-89%

+12.0pt27%

89%-90.5%

-19.3pt22%

+2 more outcomes

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$9.4K

24h Vol$1.2K

POLYMARKET

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?

4.0 pts5mo

88%

Yes

+4.0pt12%

75 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$237.3K

24h Vol$383.9

KALSHI

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

1.0 pts1mo

Before 2027

68%

Before November

-6.0pt49%

Before September

-1.0pt23%

+1 more outcomes

63 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$71.4K

24h Vol$671.6

KALSHI

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

6.5 pts4d

1800+

+3.3pt100%

2000+

+5.0pt100%

2500+

+10.4pt100%

+3 more outcomes

54 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$35.4K

24h Vol$670.8

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

4.3 pts4d

2200

+0.2pt100%

2300

+5.8pt100%

2350

+2.5pt83%

+1 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$55.9K

24h Vol$390.5

POLYMARKET

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

5mo

Above 4k

96%

Above 6k

94%

Above 8k

94%

+6 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$16.8K

24h Vol$739.1

KALSHI

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

0.9 pts5mo

95%

Yes

+0.9pt5%

79 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.6M

24h Vol$131.1

KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

5mo

95%

Yes

CoinRithm reference5%· 3 pt range

75 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$672.9K

24h Vol$144.4

KALSHI

Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?

2mo

South Sudan

+2.0pt35%

Burundi

25%

Central African Republic

-2.0pt20%

+13 more outcomes

47 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$7.5K

24h Vol$322

KALSHI

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

0.2 pts5mo

98%

Yes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$577.7K

24h Vol$100.7

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

5mo

94.1%

Yes

5.9%

70 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$129.1K

24h Vol$166.7

POLYMARKET

FDA decision: Brepocitinib by Priovant Therapeutics (in 2026)

16.0 pts5mo

Yes

+16.0pt98%

49 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.1K

24h Vol$811.7

KALSHI

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

1.0 pts5mo

Uganda

+37.5pt100%

South Sudan

-0.5pt63%

Ethiopia

+0.5pt53%

+10 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceUganda99%· 1 pt range

34 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$29.9K

24h Vol$191

POLYMARKET

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

11mo

Before Jul 1, 2028

95%

Before Jan 1, 2029

85%

Before Jan 1, 2028

-2.0pt84%

+2 more outcomes

53 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$25.4K

24h Vol$183.7

KALSHI

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 29, 2026?

6.0 pts4d

<0.1

+0.5pt41%

0.1

-6.0pt34%

>0.1

+7.0pt17%

58 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$378.3

24h Vol$353.4

POLYMARKET

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

8.0 pts5mo

Above 10

85%

Above 20

50%

Above 25

-8.0pt21%

+4 more outcomes

38 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$3.2K

24h Vol$124.8

KALSHI

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

0.5 pts5mo

+0.0pt88.1%

Yes

11.9%

49 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$243.7K

24h Vol$5.6

POLYMARKET

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

1.0 pts5mo

96%

Yes

+1.0pt4%

CoinRithm reference4%· 0 pt range

67 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$58.4K

24h Vol$46.9

KALSHI

What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?

1.0 pts2y

At least 2000

85%

At least 2500

64%

At least 3000

59%

+4 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$59.4K

24h Vol$22.4

KALSHI

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

0.5 pts5mo

+0.0pt87%

Yes

13%

43 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$72K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2

1mo

Above 2.62 million

98%

Above 2.64 million

97%

Above 2.66 million

96%

+12 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$66.4K

24h Vol$0

KALSHI

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

9.6 pts5mo

No announcement by December 31

+9.6pt26%

Kyle Diamantas

+1.0pt14%

Sara Brenner

-0.3pt8%

+30 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceKyle Diamantas14%· 6 pt range

39 • Low qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$18.4K

24h Vol$66.6

POLYMARKET

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

0.4 pts5mo

96%

Yes

64 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$17.9K

24h Vol$57.8

POLYMARKET

Will there be a year without polio before 2030?

89%

Yes

11%

49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$39.9K

24h Vol$0

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer?

5mo

Before Jan 1, 2028

77%

Before Jan 1, 2027

64%

Before Oct 1, 2026

36%

+2 more outcomes

45 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$9.2K

24h Vol$76.2

KALSHI

How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

4.0 pts5mo

Above 285k

+4.0pt96%

Above 350k

90%

Above 300k

89%

+6 more outcomes

48 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$22.8K

24h Vol$9

KALSHI

When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?

2.0 pts5mo

Before October 2027

90%

Before 2028

82%

Before July 2027

-15.0pt79%

+2 more outcomes

48 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$14.9K

24h Vol$19.9

KALSHI

Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

Jeffrey Vacirca

52.9%

Heidi Overton

24.5%

Kyle Diamantas

7.8%

+8 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceKyle Diamantas14%· 6 pt range

49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$16.6K

24h Vol$0

KALSHI

Will AbbVie Q2 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above __?

$19B

$18B

$20B

-0.3pt3%

+2 more outcomes

48 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$8.5K

24h Vol$22.5

POLYMARKET

When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

1mo

before April 2027

85%

before 2027

79%

before December

65%

+3 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$12.6K

24h Vol$0

KALSHI

How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

5mo

Above 7k

96%

Above 8k

88%

Above 9k

76%

+2 more outcomes

46 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$11.7K

24h Vol$0

KALSHI

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?

8.0 pts5mo

COVID-19

+8.0pt21%

Influenza

14%

Hepatitis B

12%

+3 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$7.7K

24h Vol$9

KALSHI

Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year?

6mo

85%

Yes

15%

49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$9.9K

24h Vol$0

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 diabetes before 2033?

55%

Yes

45%

45 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$9.2K

24h Vol$0

KALSHI

When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?

10.0 pts4mo

before April 2027

81%

before 2027

78%

before November

69%

+3 more outcomes

37 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$4.9K

24h Vol$22.7

KALSHI

Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues?

$2.3B

+0.5pt88%

$2.4B

+2.5pt86%

$2.5B

-0.5pt49%

+2 more outcomes

49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$5K

24h Vol$20.1

POLYMARKET

FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

2.5 pts3d

Yes

+0.0pt75%

-0.0pt25%

32 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.6K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET

When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?

1mo

before April 2027

67%

before December

59%

before November

32%

+3 more outcomes

39 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.4K

24h Vol$0

KALSHI

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

14.9 pts

December 31

-2.0pt58%

October 31

-14.0pt49%

August 30

+2.5pt25%

+1 more outcomes

23 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.3K

24h Vol$0

POLYMARKET