KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Aug 1, 2027 49%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Aug 1, 2027 49%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$57
Open interest
$7.5K
Medium open interestSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Senate
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Aug 1, 2027
- If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2028
- If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.