How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Health & MedicineScienceYearly3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 0 17%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$70.1
Liquidity
$50.7K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 14, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketTotal cases of measles reported in US during 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8).
- Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026.
- See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
- This market refers exclusively to human cases.
- Important information: To clarify, for purposes of this Contract, "cases" of New World screwworm refers to human cases only, consistent with the prior event in this series under equivalent rulebook variables.
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.7K
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $712.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above 0 at 17% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026? resolve?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.