How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
3.0% (24h)Health & MedicineScienceYearly5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 10 8%+3.0%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$118.7
Liquidity
$40K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 8.0%
Spread
60.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
May 14, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 108%
Volume trend
$119Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8).
- Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026.
- See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
- This market refers exclusively to human cases.
- Important information: To clarify, for purposes of this Contract, "cases" of New World screwworm refers to human cases only, consistent with the prior event in this series under equivalent rulebook variables.