KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$26.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 4.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 26, 26, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWill there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026?
Manifold Markets2026 Ebola epidemic deaths?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:WHO
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 3%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 3% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $20.3K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $4.7K
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Total Vol
- $712.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ebola pandemic in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Ebola pandemic in 2026? resolve?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Ebola pandemic in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Ebola pandemic in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Manifold Markets.