Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 8, 2026, 4:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 93.7%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleMay 19, 26, 7:23 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
0.3 pts5mo
97%
3%
82 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$675.2K
24h Vol$5.9K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
1.0 pts5mo
96%
+1.0pt4%
67 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$58.4K
24h Vol$46.9
KALSHIRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.9k97.4%POLYMARKETNoflovertaco11d ago
POLYMARKETNoflovertaco11d agoRelated Markets
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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
$31.8KYes: 3%POLYMARKET
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New pandemic in 2026?
$25.3KYes: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETHantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027?
$2.6KYes: 6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.