PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
5000+ · —
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Stored reference
5000+ 99%Leader of 6 outcomes
5000+ 99%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$922.4
Low liquidityOpen interest
$643.2
Bid / Ask
— / —
5000+Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 30, 26, 3:33 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
4600+Won
4800+Won
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 5000+
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
FutuurWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiIn which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time.
- If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
- Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.