What are the current odds for Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026??

Futuur prices 3,000 or more at 99% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? resolve?

Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 29, 2026.

Where else is Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? listed?

The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold Markets.

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Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

US PoliticsOne-OffHealth & Medicine2mo

FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution data

Current implied probability

3,000 or more 99%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Market quality

22 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

$35.8

Low liquidity

Traders

Comments

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This set of markets predicts the cumulative number of confirmed measles cases in humans in the territory of the United States in 2026, according to the CDC measles case counter, covering cases between January 1, 2026, at 05:00 UTC (12:00 AM ET) and January 1, 2027, at 04:59 UTC (11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026).

Each of the markets below covers one cumulative threshold; any number of these markets may resolve to "Yes" (reaching a higher threshold also resolves all lower thresholds to "Yes").
A market resolves to "Yes" if the CDC counter reports a cumulative 2026 total at or above the market's threshold.
A market resolves to "Yes" at the first moment the CDC counter reports a cumulative 2026 total at or above its threshold; that resolution is final and is not affected by subsequent downward revisions.
Markets whose thresholds have not been reached resolve to "No" based on the CDC counter value as of the deadline.
Only cases reported by the CDC measles counter qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.