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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Texas Senate winner?
Texas Senate winner?

Texas Senate winner?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS Politics1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton 58%-1.0%
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$525.6

Liquidity

$33.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

57.0% / 58.0%

Spread

1.8%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Ken Paxton58%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

0.5%4mo
Ken Paxton (R)
Ken Paxton (R)
-1.0%57%
James Talarico (D)
James Talarico (D)
-0.5%42%
Person B
Person B
0%

+10 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$489.7K
24h Vol$5.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.