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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics

US Politics

2659 related markets tracked across sources for US Politics.

Open Markets

2,338

Total Volume

$876,190,039

24h Volume

$5,277,695

Total Liquidity

$63,591,236

Open Markets

2,338

Total Volume

$876,190,039

24h Volume

$5,277,695

Total Liquidity

$63,591,236

Related Topics

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Topics

Crypto

Bitcoin575

Politics

Middle East374Geopolitics264Politics4135Election3212US Politics2338Latin America477

Macro

Fed114Commodities139Corporate Actions216

Sports

Sports6315Soccer3154Baseball690Esports430FIFA World Cup1009Tennis673Basketball418American Football303Motorsport92

Tech

Tech625

Science

Space134

Theme

Exchange551Stablecoin422

Entity

Binance410

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Related News

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

2y
Robert F. Kennedy
Robert F. Kennedy
49%
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
-0.3%34%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
-1.8%24%

+125 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$655M
24h Vol$611.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

2.5%18d
July 31
July 31
-4.0%54%
June 30
June 30
-5.5%33%
June 15
June 15
-2.5%8%

+14 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$30.7M
24h Vol$331.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

0.2%6mo
Yes
Yes
6%
No
No
94%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$33.7M
24h Vol$15K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

3.5%19d
June 30
June 30
+6.0%31%
June 15
June 15
-1.5%18%
June 12
June 12
+3.5%11%

+1 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.5M
24h Vol$932.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

18d
Yes
Yes
1%
No
No
99%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.8M
24h Vol$42.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

18d
No meeting by June 30
No meeting by June 30
+0.1%97%
Russia
Russia
-0.1%1%
China
China
1%

+12 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$8.4M
24h Vol$18K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

4mo
Democrats Sweep
Democrats Sweep
44%
R Senate, D
R Senate, D
37%
Republicans Sweep
Republicans Sweep
18%

+2 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.6M
24h Vol$10K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

4mo
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
82%
Republican Party
Republican Party
+1.0%20%
Other
Other
0%

+6 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$7.1M
24h Vol$13.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

1.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%10%
No
No
+0.0%91%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$9M
24h Vol$6.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

9.0%18d
Oil Sanction Relief
Oil Sanction Relief
-7.0%19%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
-9.0%17%
Troop Withdrawal
Troop Withdrawal
-1.0%11%

+2 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$152.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

2.0%6mo
December 31
December 31
+2.0%7%
April 30
April 30
-0.1%0%
June 30
June 30
-0.2%0%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$5.9M
24h Vol$14.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

3.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%17%
No
No
+0.0%84%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.8M
24h Vol$15.9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

87.3%18d
June 30
June 30
+87.3%100%
May 15
May 15
-0.8%0%
May 31
May 31
-2.0%0%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.6M
24h Vol$1.1M
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

0.5%2mo
Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds
+1.0%92%
James Fishback
James Fishback
-0.5%7%
Jay Collins
Jay Collins
+0.5%2%

+20 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$9.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

1.5%18d
Tucker Carlson
Tucker Carlson
+0.3%100%
Candace Owens
Candace Owens
+0.1%100%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
+0.3%100%

+23 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$770.9K
24h Vol$17.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

7.0%19d
June 2
June 2
100%
June 3
June 3
+4.2%100%
June 4
June 4
+4.5%100%

+26 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$474.6K
24h Vol$26.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
14%
No
No
87%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$10.2M
24h Vol$15.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

2.3%6mo
Donald Brodie
Donald Brodie
-1.5%59%
Stefan Brodie
Stefan Brodie
56%
Daniel Penny
Daniel Penny
-4.0%51%

+24 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$268K
24h Vol$9.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

0.6%18d
Emmanuel Macron
Emmanuel Macron
+1.4%97%
Keir Starmer
Keir Starmer
+0.5%95%
Friedrich Merz
Friedrich Merz
-1.0%94%

+18 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$242.3K
24h Vol$9.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

6.0%4mo
Other
Other
46%
Democrats 8-10%
Democrats 8-10%
-0.5%19%
Democrats 6-8%
Democrats 6-8%
+6.0%18%

+11 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$56.4K
24h Vol$5.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

11.9%6mo
John Ratcliffe
John Ratcliffe
+3.9%19%
No announcement by December 31
No announcement by December 31
-11.9%15%
Pete Hoekstra
Pete Hoekstra
15%

+48 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$84.6K
24h Vol$5.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

4.0%11mo
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
-4.0%34%
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
+2.0%65%
Rick Caruso
Rick Caruso
0%

+7 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$828K
24h Vol$3.4K
KalshiKALSHI
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

4.5%6mo
Maria Corina Machado
Maria Corina Machado
+0.6%100%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
+1.6%100%
Xi Jinping
Xi Jinping
+0.1%100%

+21 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$536.5K
24h Vol$2.9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
California Governor winner?

California Governor winner?

0.1%1y
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton
+0.1%10%
Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra
+1.0%90%
Toni Atkins
Toni Atkins
0%

+22 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$463.7K
24h Vol$1.3K
KalshiKALSHI
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

0.1%6mo
Before 2027
Before 2027
-0.1%13%
Before July 2026
Before July 2026
2%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 20, 2029
-1.0%27%

+2 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$257.2K
24h Vol$1.5K
KalshiKALSHI
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

2.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%11%
No
No
-0.0%89%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$90.4K
24h Vol$6.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

1.5%6mo
December 31
December 31
+1.5%11%
January 31
January 31
0%
March 31
March 31
+0.5%0%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.4M
24h Vol$3.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

1.5%6mo
No meeting by December 31
No meeting by December 31
+0.5%62%
China
China
-1.5%18%
Russia
Russia
-0.5%5%

+12 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$52.2K
24h Vol$3.9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

1.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%47%
No
No
+0.0%54%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$4.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

0.1%6mo
Yes
Yes
4%
No
No
96%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.2M
24h Vol$1.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

0.5%1d
120-139
120-139
+29.9%54%
140-159
140-159
+7.5%19%
100-119
100-119
-20.9%12%

+8 more outcomes

77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$28.7K
24h Vol$10.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

2.5%1mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%5%
No
No
-0.0%95%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$18.8K
24h Vol$10.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

0.5%
≤47
≤47
-0.5%27%
51
51
-0.5%18%
49
49
16%

+8 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.6M
24h Vol$578.6
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

1.5%6mo
Pam Bondi
Pam Bondi
-1.5%100%
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
+40.5%100%
Dan Bongino
Dan Bongino
+15.9%100%

+17 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$1.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

0.5%
December 31
December 31
-0.5%57%
June 30
June 30
-0.5%9%
March 31
March 31
+0.3%0%

+2 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$1.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

0.5%18d
June 30
June 30
-1.0%61%
June 22
June 22
-2.0%36%
June 15
June 15
-0.5%19%

+1 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$457.2K
24h Vol$4.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
7%
No
No
94%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$481.6K
24h Vol$3.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

0.1%18d
Yes
Yes
1%
No
No
99%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$404.9K
24h Vol$2.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

89.5%20d
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani
+70.0%100%
Elon Musk
Elon Musk
+60.5%100%
Gianni Infantino
Gianni Infantino
+18.9%100%

+15 more outcomes

88 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$131.3K
24h Vol$58.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

4d
Bert Mizusawa
Bert Mizusawa
77%
Kim Farington
Kim Farington
+0.3%17%
David Williams
David Williams
-0.3%5%

+15 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.4M
24h Vol$432.6
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

0.5%11d
Hakeem Jeffries
Hakeem Jeffries
+0.5%96%
Chi Ossé
Chi Ossé
-1.1%1%
Candidate C
Candidate C
0%

+18 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$15.2K
24h Vol$5.2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

2.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%25%
No
No
+0.0%76%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$237.6K
24h Vol$4.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

0.7%18d
Yes
Yes
+0.0%2%
No
No
-0.0%98%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$242.1K
24h Vol$2.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee

2028 Republican presidential nominee

2y
Eric Trump
Eric Trump
1%
Donald J. Trump
Donald J. Trump
-0.2%3%
Elon Musk
Elon Musk
0%

+22 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$472.5K
24h Vol$643.7
KalshiKALSHI
New York Governor Republican Primary Winner

New York Governor Republican Primary Winner

0.5%11d
Bruce Blakeman
Bruce Blakeman
+0.5%97%
Elise Stefanik
Elise Stefanik
-0.1%1%
Pat Hahn
Pat Hahn
1%

+18 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$107.2K
24h Vol$3.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

2.0%18d
June 30
June 30
+2.0%42%
May 31
May 31
-1.6%0%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$282.9K
24h Vol$1.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

1.0%11d
Claire Valdez
Claire Valdez
+1.0%77%
Antonio Reynoso
Antonio Reynoso
18%
Kristen Gonzalez
Kristen Gonzalez
0%

+22 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$138.9K
24h Vol$2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

7.0%18d
Keir Starmer
Keir Starmer
+1.0%97%
Giorgia Meloni
Giorgia Meloni
+0.9%95%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
77%

+7 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$74.4K
24h Vol$3.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET