Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
9.2 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+9.2pt24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+2.6pt18%
Gavin Newsom-0.5pt15%+51 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.3B
24h Vol$2.1M
POLYMARKETUS Politics
23,146 markets tracked all-time for US Politics, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Key markets
- Scott Colom leads “Mississippi Senate winner?” at 81.2% on Kalshi.
- Below 45 leads “How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?” at 61.5% on Kalshi.
- Democratic party leads “Alaska Senate winner?” at 86.1% on Kalshi.
Selected open markets with a clear leader. Each line shows one venue's market-implied probability, not a combined forecast or tradable quote. Data timestamps may differ from venue quote or last trade times.
Open Markets
15,856
Total Volume
$7,172,735,320
24h Volume
$159,748,390
Liquidity + open interest
$1,845,585,807
Related Crypto Assets
Related News (6)
Democrats win US House to secure control of Congress in midtermsCointelegraph
Election 2026: CoinDesk live blogCoindesk
US midterms election 2026 live: What they mean for cryptoCointelegraph
US midterms: Prediction markets favor Democrats in key crypto racesCointelegraph
Prediction markets bet on Democratic sweep of House, Senate in midterm electionsThe Block
Crypto funded the midterms. Which races matter for its agenda?Crypto NewsJon Ossoff+9.2pt24%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+2.6pt18%Gavin Newsom-0.5pt15%POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
4.9 pt (24h)2y
J.D. Vance-4.9pt31%
Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
Ron DeSantis+6.8pt11%+40 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$724.4M
24h Vol$3.4M
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
6.3 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+6.3pt18%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.5pt14%JD Vance-5.1pt13%+52 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh liquidity
Total Vol$730.1M
24h Vol$3.3M
POLYMARKET
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
56.7 pt (24h)7mo
Nithya Raman+55.5pt99%Karen Bass-56.7pt1%High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$65M
24h Vol$18.7M
KALSHI
Mississippi Senate winner?
67.0 pt (24h)2mo
Scott Colom+67.0pt82%Cindy Hyde-Smith-67.0pt19%CoinRithm referenceScott Colom (D)82%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$18.8M
24h Vol$16.6M
KALSHI
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
5.0 pt (24h)2y
Jon Ossoff+5.0pt17%Gavin Newsom-3.0pt13%Marco Rubio+1.0pt12%+32 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$82.4M
24h Vol$2.8M
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
7.9 pt (24h)2y
J.D. Vance-6.0pt28%Marco Rubio+2.0pt25%Ron DeSantis+7.9pt12%+43 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$76.6M
24h Vol$2.5M
KALSHI
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
46.8 pt (24h)2mo
Above 52+46.8pt100%52-15.8pt0%51-7.1pt0%+7 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$20.5M
24h Vol$5.7M
KALSHI
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
51.0 pt (24h)2mo
Below 45+51.0pt67%45+11.0pt24%46-13.0pt6%+12 more outcomes
High quality (89)Moderate spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$14.8M
24h Vol$5.6M
KALSHI
Alaska Senate winner?
16.0 pt (24h)2mo
Democratic party+16.0pt87%Republican party-16.0pt14%CoinRithm referenceDemocratic party79%· 17 pt venue spread
High quality (96)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$12.6M
24h Vol$5.9M
KALSHI
US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
14.1 pt (24h)1mo
November 2+21.1pt100%October 31+14.1pt100%+24 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$39.4M
24h Vol$1.4M
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3.0 pt (24h)1mo
Yes14%-3.0pt
No86%+3.0pt
CoinRithm referenceNo86%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (92)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$77.4M
24h Vol$640.3K
POLYMARKET
Blue wave in 2026?
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
11.6 pt (24h)2mo
Yes100%+11.6pt
No0%
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$10.1M
24h Vol$5M
KALSHI
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
3.0 pt (24h)1mo
March 31+2.0pt64%December 31-0.1pt40%November 30-3.0pt22%+22 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$47.4M
24h Vol$697.2K
POLYMARKET
US House Control After the 2026 Midterms
12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
24h Vol$6.1M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
72.0 pt (24h)2mo
Above 249+72.0pt97%246-249-7.9pt2%242-245-15.8pt0%+9 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$9.6M
24h Vol$3M
KALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory
62.9 pt (24h)12mo
James Talarico, 5+ pts+62.9pt100%James Talarico, 8+ pts+85.5pt100%James Talarico, 4+ pts+53.9pt100%+20 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$5.9M
24h Vol$3.1M
KALSHI2026 Texas Senate Race
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$4.3M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
Fed Decision in December?
5.0 pt (24h)1mo
25 bps increase+5.0pt77.2%No change-4.0pt21.8%50+ bps increase-0.5pt1%+2 more outcomes
CoinRithm reference25 bps increase78%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$12.1M
24h Vol$1.2M
POLYMARKET2026 Florida Governor Race
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$3.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)2026 Michigan Senate Race
2.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interest
24h Vol$3.6M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)US Senate Control After the 2026 Midterms
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$3.5M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
NY-17 House winner?
45.8 pt (24h)2mo
Cait Conley+42.6pt99%Mike Lawler-45.8pt0%CoinRithm referenceCait Conley (D)99%· 0 pt venue spread
Medium quality (74)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$4M
24h Vol$2.9M
KALSHI
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
51.0 pt (24h)12mo
Democrats, 12 to 14%+51.0pt67%Democrats, 14 to 16%+22.0pt30%Democrats, 10 to 12%-20.9pt3%+7 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.7M
24h Vol$1.6M
KALSHI
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
51.3 pt (24h)2mo
Below 193+51.3pt99%193-197-15.9pt0%198-202-10.9pt0%+8 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$9.2M
24h Vol$1.1M
KALSHI
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
2.3 pt (24h)1mo
Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt23%Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt14%Before Jan 1, 2027-2.3pt2%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$38.2M
24h Vol$203.5K
KALSHI2026 Texas Governor Race
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$2.8M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1mo
Yes5%
No95%
High quality (91)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$29.3M
24h Vol$212.4K
POLYMARKET
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
0.6 pt (24h)1mo
December 31-0.6pt3%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$76.2M
24h Vol$75.3K
POLYMARKET
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
3.1 pt (24h)1mo
Nicolás Maduro+3.1pt88.9%Delcy Rodríguez-0.5pt10.1%No Head of State-0.5pt1%+13 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$99.4M
24h Vol$53.4K
POLYMARKET
Kansas Governor winner?
61.5 pt (24h)2mo
Cindy Holscher+61.5pt98%Ty Masterson-62.1pt4%CoinRithm referenceCindy Holscher (D)97%· 2 pt venue spread
High quality (95)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$3M
24h Vol$2M
KALSHI
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Before Jan 4, 2027
2.8 pt (24h)2mo
Yes1%-2.8pt
No99%
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$15.6M
24h Vol$327.4K
KALSHI
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
In 2026
17.8 pt (24h)27d
Yes4%-17.8pt
No96%
High quality (98)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$3.5M
24h Vol$1.3M
KALSHIMichigan Senate margin of victory
29.6 pt (24h)12mo
El-Sayed, 2.5+ pts+29.6pt100%El-Sayed, 1+ pts+22.7pt100%El-Sayed, 1.5+ pts+22.5pt100%+14 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Wide spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.9M
24h Vol$1.3M
KALSHI
NC-03 House winner?
35.0 pt (24h)2mo
Raymond Smith Jr.+34.0pt76%Greg Murphy-35.0pt24%CoinRithm referenceRaymond Smith Jr. (D)74%· 3 pt venue spread
High quality (94)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$2.4M
24h Vol$1.4M
KALSHI
Trump out as President before 2027?
0.4 pt (24h)1mo
Yes4%+0.4pt
No96%-0.4pt
CoinRithm referenceNo96%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (91)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$13.8M
24h Vol$212K
POLYMARKET
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
0.7 pt (24h)1mo
Yes3%+0.7pt
No97%-0.7pt
CoinRithm referenceNo97%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$24.9M
24h Vol$96.1K
POLYMARKETUS Congress Control After the 2026 Midterms
1.0 pt (24h)12mo
+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$1.7M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)
Will the House impeach Trump?
13.0 pt (24h)1mo
Before Oct 1, 2027+13.0pt75%Before Jan 1, 2028+10.0pt74%Before Aug 1, 2027+20.0pt70%+8 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.1M
24h Vol$606.7K
KALSHI
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
32.2 pt (24h)2mo
Yes99%+32.2pt
No1%
CoinRithm referenceYes100%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2.5M
24h Vol$974.7K
KALSHI
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
1.0 pt (24h)2y
Anna Kelly+6.0pt30%Ben Ferguson+2.0pt9%Scott Jennings-1.0pt6%+59 more outcomes
Medium quality (64)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.9M
24h Vol$303.8K
KALSHI
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1mo
Yes2%
No98%
High quality (87)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$36M
24h Vol$39.8K
POLYMARKETVA-05 House winner?
39.0 pt (24h)2mo
John McGuire+36.9pt96%Tom Perriello-39.0pt2%CoinRithm referenceJohn McGuire (R)96%· 0 pt venue spread
High quality (88)Moderate spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$2M
24h Vol$781.9K
KALSHI2026 California Governor Race
2.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
24h Vol$1.3M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)NV-02 House winner?
64.5 pt (24h)2mo
Teresa Benitez-Thompson+63.1pt99%David Flippo-64.5pt1%CoinRithm referenceTeresa Benitez-Thompson (D)99%· 0 pt venue spread
Medium quality (72)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$1.1M
KALSHI
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
0.6 pt (24h)1mo
Before January 20, 2029+6.0pt31%Before 2028+5.0pt23%Before 2027-0.6pt4%High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.9M
24h Vol$125.2K
KALSHI
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
43.0 pt (24h)2mo
At least 53+43.0pt99%At least 54+59.0pt99%At least 52+29.0pt99%+10 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Wide spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$984.9K
24h Vol$906.9K
KALSHI2026 Ohio Governor Race
2.0 pt (24h)12mo
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh open interest
24h Vol$914.2K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)