KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityAbove 249 10%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.3K
Liquidity
$552.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
9.2% / 9.8%
Spread
6.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Dec 30, 25, 3:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 24910%
Also available on Manifold Markets
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
4mo
+2.0%97%
+0.3%99%
+0.3%69.5%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast51 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$12.9K
24h Vol$553.7
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
- If the Democratic party has between 210-213 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 222-225 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
- If the Democratic party has between 210-213 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 222-225 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.