How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsElectionPolitics5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
230-233 11.8%Leader of 12 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$19K
Liquidity
$897.6K
High liquiditySpread
0.6 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Dec 30, 25, 3:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the Democratic party has the named outcome House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
- If the Democratic party has between 210-213 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 222-225 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026? · 194+ (2016 result) 97%
Open markets
US Politics
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-14.0pt25%
- October 31-21.0pt13%
- August 31-18.6pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-8.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
- Total Vol
- $23.7M
- 24h Vol
- $585.9K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.5pt14%
+125 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 more outcomes
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Ohio?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms??
- Kalshi prices 230-233 at 12% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? resolve?
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic party has the named outcome House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.