How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsElectionPolitics2026 US Midterms3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
234-237 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
234-237 Stored bid–ask14%–15%Collected: Last trade: 15% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 14.4%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Leader of 12 outcomes
234-237 Stored bid–ask14%–15%Collected: Last trade: 15% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 14.4%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$24.2K
Open interest
$1.9M
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
234-237Spread
—
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Dec 30, 25, 3:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · 234-237
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Democratic party has between 234-237 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
Rules for each outcome
- 234-237
- If the Democratic party has between 234-237 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 230-233
- If the Democratic party has between 230-233 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 238-241
- If the Democratic party has between 238-241 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 249
- If the Democratic party has above 249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 226-229
- If the Democratic party has between 226-229 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 242-245
- If the Democratic party has between 242-245 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 222-225
- If the Democratic party has between 222-225 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 246-249
- If the Democratic party has between 246-249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 210
- If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 214-217
- If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 218-221
- If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 210-213
- If the Democratic party has between 210-213 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026? · 194+ (2016 result) 99%
