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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

US PoliticsEntertainmentYearlyAI6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani 20%
Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$16.6

Liquidity

$1.9K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

17.0% / 20.0%

Spread

17.6%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Feb 19, 26, 8:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Zohran Mamdani20%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

5.5%6mo
Jeremy Hansen
Jeremy Hansen
+25.5%36%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
35%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
-1.0%35%

+19 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$167.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
  • Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
  • Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
  • Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
  • Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.