KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Zohran Mamdani 30%+1.0ptLeader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.2K
Liquidity
$737.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWill Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year?
KalshiRules
If the named outcome is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:TIME
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 31%
- Also available on Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 37%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? · Zohran Mamdani 28%
Open markets
US Politics
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+2.5pt100%
- $25M+6.8pt100%
- $50M+12.4pt100%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.4M
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- Ken Paxton-2.0pt50.5%
- James Talarico+3.0pt49.5%
- Total Vol
- $11.2M
- 24h Vol
- $472.1K
POLYMARKETCassis: Moez Echargui vs Billy Harris
- Harris+51.0pt100%
- Completed Match+49.5pt100%
- Harris Set 1 Winner+50.0pt100%
+14 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-4.3pt55.8%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
- Naftali Bennett7.4%
+16 more outcomes
- TX-15 House winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- Who will Trump mention during the RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
- Kalshi prices Zohran Mamdani at 30% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Time's Person of the Year for 2026 resolve?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Time's Person of the Year for 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Time's Person of the Year for 2026 listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Futuur, Manifold Markets.