Best AI at the end of 2026?
2.9 pt (24h)1mo
Gemini-2.9pt48%Claude+2.4pt41%ChatGPT+0.5pt7%+5 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.4M
24h Vol$101.1K
KALSHIAI
9,280 markets tracked all-time for AI, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Key markets
- Gemini leads “Best AI at the end of 2026?” at 47.5% on Kalshi.
- SpaceX leads “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?” at 57.4% on Polymarket.
- Google leads “Which company has best AI model end of 2026?” at 53.5% on Polymarket.
Selected open markets with a clear leader. Each line shows one venue's market-implied probability, not a combined forecast or tradable quote. Data timestamps may differ from venue quote or last trade times.
Open Markets
5,765
Total Volume
$472,866,745
24h Volume
$773,204
Liquidity + open interest
$1,963,550,034
Related Crypto Assets
Related News (6)
Coinbase Opens Deribit-Powered Perpetuals to AI AgentsThe Defiant
AI agents bypassed crypto spending limits without human approval, researchers find in a new testCoindesk
OpenAI reportedly cuts fundraising and valuation targets amid AI jittersCoindesk
Tria Launches Agentic Trading, Allowing AI Agents to Execute Crypto Trades Without Giving Up Control of FundsBlockchain Reporter
Your fridge could one day stake Ether, launch memecoins: CFTC chairCointelegraph
Lightning Labs opens Wavelength for AI bitcoin payments on mainnetCrypto NewsGemini-2.9pt48%Claude+2.4pt41%ChatGPT+0.5pt7%KALSHI
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4.5 pt (24h)2mo
SpaceX+4.5pt57.4%
Anthropic-3.6pt42.6%
ByteDance0%+9 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.2M
24h Vol$130.7K
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
0.3 pt (24h)2mo
↑$1.5T+0.3pt90%↑$1.75T82%↑$2.0T66%+11 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.5M
24h Vol$47.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
4.5 pt (24h)1mo
December 31,+4.5pt93%December 15,+8.5pt92%November 30,+3.0pt83%+15 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.2M
24h Vol$23.5K
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
0.5 pt (24h)1mo
Google+0.5pt53.5%
Anthropic+2.0pt39.4%
OpenAI-0.5pt5%+12 more outcomes
High quality (87)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.8M
24h Vol$21.3K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
1y
$1.75–$2.0T29.3%$2.0–$2.25T-1.2pt18.9%$1.5–$1.75T+1.4pt17.9%+7 more outcomes
High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3M
24h Vol$21.2K
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
28d
Before Apr 1, 202792%Before Mar 1, 202792%Before Feb 1, 202791%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$4.2M
24h Vol$6.9K
KALSHI
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
3.5 pt (24h)1mo
December 31+3.5pt95%November 30+5.5pt85%November 19+10.0pt73%+27 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$21.8K
POLYMARKET
AI bubble burst by which date?
3.0 pt (24h)1mo
June 30, 202723%December 31, 2026-3.0pt7%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.2M
24h Vol$5.7K
POLYMARKET
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
0.5 pt (24h)1mo
No IPO by December 31, 2026+0.5pt96%1.5T+1%1T–1.25T1%+4 more outcomes
High quality (84)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.5M
24h Vol$6.6K
POLYMARKET
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
5.4 pt (24h)1mo
December 31+5.4pt97%December 15+5.5pt95%November 30+12.0pt91%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$660.2K
24h Vol$25.7K
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
1.0 pt (24h)28d
Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt7%Before Dec 1, 2026-1.0pt3%+3 more outcomes
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$6.7K
KALSHI
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
1.1 pt (24h)1y
<$1T+0.5pt23.7%$1.25T–$1.5T-1.1pt21.6%$1.5T–$1.75T-4.2pt21.6%+5 more outcomes
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$684.2K
24h Vol$9.8K
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
5.0 pt (24h)1mo
Before Dec 31, 2026+5.0pt62%Before Nov 13, 2026-4.0pt27%Before Nov 6, 2026+6.0pt19%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Moderate spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$413K
24h Vol$11.2K
KALSHI
When will Gemini Carbon be released?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
November 9–November 15-0.5pt61.2%November 2–November 8+3.0pt13.3%November 16–November 22-2.6pt12.2%+8 more outcomes
High quality (80)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$111.1K
24h Vol$24.4K
POLYMARKETBest AI this week
1h
Gemini99%Claude1%ChatGPT1%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (55)Spread unknownHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$144.6K
24h Vol$17.8K
KALSHIAnthropic IPO Date
5.0 pt (24h)28d
November 20+5.0pt27.8%No IPO by November 30, 202619.6%November 18-1.0pt16.5%+9 more outcomes
High quality (80)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$144.6K
24h Vol$17.3K
POLYMARKETGemini Carbon released by which date?
5.0 pt (24h)1mo
December 31+2.5pt98%November 30+1.5pt91%November 15+5.0pt79%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$147.2K
24h Vol$16.7K
POLYMARKET
Grok App Downloads in October 2026
2.0 pt (24h)5d
Above 55+2.0pt99%Above 2599%Above 60+49.0pt68%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$72.1K
24h Vol$14.4K
KALSHIGPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
1.0 pt (24h)8mo
55%++1.0pt91%60%+90%65%++5.0pt36%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$125.6K
24h Vol$7.7K
POLYMARKETWhen will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
39.0 pt (24h)3mo
November 2–November 8+39.0pt70%November 16–November 22-6.0pt10.9%November 9–November 15-11.0pt6.4%+13 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$70.3K
24h Vol$13K
POLYMARKETGemini Carbon released on?
2.3 pt (24h)28d
November 10+2.3pt24.6%November 11-9.5pt16.7%No release by November 30-0.5pt8.8%+29 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$74.1K
24h Vol$10.8K
POLYMARKET
Gemini App Downloads in October 2026
5d
Above 6099%Above 110+1.0pt99%Above 7099%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$91K
24h Vol$8.4K
KALSHIHow much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
0.5 pt (24h)1y
$95B to $105B+0.3pt44.9%$85B to $95B-0.5pt21.5%$105B to $115B-0.5pt16.8%+6 more outcomes
High quality (78)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$94.7K
24h Vol$8K
POLYMARKET
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
1.0 pt (24h)1mo
Zohran Mamdani+1.0pt31%Pope Leo XIV-2.0pt17%Mark Carney+1.0pt16%+39 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2M
24h Vol$4.7K
KALSHI
Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Debut?
2.5 pt (24h)8mo
1470+-2.5pt42%1480+36%1490++0.5pt19%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (64)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$104.5K
24h Vol$5.3K
POLYMARKET
ChatGPT App Downloads in October
5d
Above 3599%Above 5099%Above 6598%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$49.6K
24h Vol$8.4K
KALSHI
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
3y
202924%202817%20278%High quality (75)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.9M
24h Vol$1.9K
POLYMARKET
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
1mo
Anthropic77%OpenAI-2.0pt13%Google6%+6 more outcomes
High quality (80)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$3.4K
KALSHI
OpenAI IPO by which date?
0.3 pt (24h)8mo
June 30, 2027+0.5pt46%March 31, 202720%December+0.3pt3%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.1M
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKET
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026
4.0 pt (24h)1h
Above 70.2%+4.0pt99%Above 52.6%99%Above 55.8%99%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (60)Wide spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$37.1K
24h Vol$6.6K
KALSHINext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
28d
November 417.7%No release by November 30-5.5pt11.3%November 310.5%+29 more outcomes
Low quality (42)Wide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$23.4K
24h Vol$7.7K
POLYMARKET
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
8.0 pt (24h)1mo
Clip-on device for clothing20%Earbuds/Headphones-2.5pt13%Glasses-8.0pt8%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$470.2K
24h Vol$4.9K
POLYMARKETBest AI this month
28d
Gemini69%Claude26%ChatGPT4%+4 more outcomes
Medium quality (74)Tight spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$12.2K
24h Vol$12.2K
KALSHI
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
0.2 pt (24h)1y
2027-2.0pt53%2026+0.2pt14%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (66)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKETWhat will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
7.7 pt (24h)1y
$1.50–$1.75T+7.7pt59.2%$1.75–$2.00T-4.0pt31.1%$1.25–$1.50T-0.1pt4.8%+5 more outcomes
High quality (77)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$304.9K
24h Vol$4.6K
POLYMARKET
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
Gemini+1.0pt42%Claude+1.0pt13%ChatGPT5%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$244K
24h Vol$4.3K
KALSHI
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
OpenAI+1.0pt16%xAI8%Meta7%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$452.9K
24h Vol$1.5K
KALSHIIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
3.6 pt (24h)1y
November 2026+3.6pt80.4%December 2026+1.9pt10.8%January 2027+0.1pt2%+14 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceNovember 202682%· 0 pt venue spread
Medium quality (74)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$538.8K
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKET
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)1y
2027-0.5pt64%2026+1.0pt27%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$528K
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1.5 pt (24h)1mo
Yes5.9%-1.5pt
No94.1%+1.5pt
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$360.7K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKETHighest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
11.0 pt (24h)1mo
50%+-11.0pt14%55%+13%60%++1.0pt11%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (58)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$137.1K
24h Vol$4.3K
POLYMARKET
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Before 2027
2mo
Yes8%
No92%
High quality (75)Moderate spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$205K
24h Vol$2.7K
KALSHI
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
5.0 pt (24h)1mo
Saudi Arabia+5.0pt30%
Anthropic+0.2pt4%
China4%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$188.7K
24h Vol$2.7K
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
6.5 pt (24h)1mo
45%+-6.5pt23%40%+-6.5pt22%50%+-10.5pt18%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (54)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$124.6K
24h Vol$3.5K
POLYMARKET
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
1mo
Anthropic56%OpenAI-2.5pt14%
Meta7%+12 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$235.6K
24h Vol$1.5K
POLYMARKET
When will any company achieve AGI?
8mo
Before Jan 1, 203081%Before Jan 1, 2031-1.0pt77%Before Jan 1, 202977%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (68)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$271.6K
24h Vol$1.2K
KALSHINext Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
8mo
1500+94%1510+85%1520+-4.0pt67%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (68)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$116.1K
24h Vol$2.8K
POLYMARKET