Best AI at the end of 2026?
0.8 pt (24h)1mo
Gemini+0.8pt52%Claude+2.8pt41%ChatGPT-1.6pt5%+5 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.4M
24h Vol$90.1K
KALSHIAI
9,281 markets tracked all-time for AI, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
5,719
Total Volume
$473,128,935
24h Volume
$836,202
Liquidity + open interest
$1,963,602,474
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Related News (6)
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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4.5 pt (24h)2mo
SpaceX+4.5pt58%
Anthropic-3.9pt42%
ByteDance0%+9 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.2M
24h Vol$77.5K
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
0.2 pt (24h)2mo
↑$1.5T+0.2pt90%↑$1.75T+0.5pt83%↑$2.0T66%+11 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.5M
24h Vol$49.1K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
0.4 pt (24h)1y
$1.75–$2.0T+4.5pt34.3%$1.5–$1.75T+0.4pt18.6%$2.0–$2.25T-2.3pt17.6%+7 more outcomes
High quality (88)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.1M
24h Vol$93.6K
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
2.0 pt (24h)1mo
Google+2.0pt54.9%
Anthropic+2.0pt38.2%
OpenAI-0.5pt4.9%+12 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Spread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.8M
24h Vol$47.5K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
1.4 pt (24h)1mo
December 15,+2.5pt91%December 31,+1.4pt91%November 30,+1.0pt83%+15 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.2M
24h Vol$21.7K
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
4.0 pt (24h)28d
Before Feb 1, 2027+4.0pt95%Before Apr 1, 202792%Before Mar 1, 202792%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$4.2M
24h Vol$7.6K
KALSHI
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
2.8 pt (24h)1mo
December 31+2.8pt95%November 30+6.0pt86%November 19+12.0pt75%+27 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$21.8K
POLYMARKET
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
2.0 pt (24h)1mo
Zohran Mamdani+2.0pt31%Pope Leo XIV-1.0pt18%Mark Carney+1.0pt16%+39 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2M
24h Vol$9.6K
KALSHI
AI bubble burst by which date?
3.2 pt (24h)1mo
June 30, 202723%December 31, 2026-3.2pt6%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.2M
24h Vol$5.7K
POLYMARKET
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
5.5 pt (24h)1mo
December 15+5.5pt97%December 31+5.3pt97%November 30+5.0pt91%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$661.7K
24h Vol$20.6K
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
1.0 pt (24h)28d
Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt7%Before Dec 1, 2026-1.0pt3%+3 more outcomes
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$1.1M
24h Vol$7.1K
KALSHI
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
3.8 pt (24h)1y
<$1T+1.1pt25%$1.5T–$1.75T-3.5pt21.9%$1.25T–$1.5T-3.8pt19.8%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (74)Moderate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$686.2K
24h Vol$11.4K
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
2.0 pt (24h)1mo
Before Dec 31, 2026+2.0pt55%Before Nov 13, 2026-9.0pt22%Before Nov 6, 2026+1.0pt13%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (57)Wide spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$414.1K
24h Vol$10.3K
KALSHI
When will Gemini Carbon be released?
5.0 pt (24h)2mo
November 9–November 15+5.0pt69.7%November 16–November 22-4.2pt11.1%November 2–November 8+6.5pt11.1%+8 more outcomes
High quality (78)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$117K
24h Vol$25K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Date
28d
November 2025.5%No IPO by November 30, 2026+2.0pt19.4%November 1817.4%+9 more outcomes
High quality (76)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$147.6K
24h Vol$17.9K
POLYMARKETGemini Carbon released by which date?
0.6 pt (24h)1mo
December 31-0.6pt98%November 30-0.5pt91%November 15+1.0pt78%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$150.5K
24h Vol$12.9K
POLYMARKETWhat will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
5.7 pt (24h)1y
$1.50–$1.75T+5.7pt56.7%$1.75–$2.00T-4.0pt30.8%$1.25–$1.50T+0.1pt5.8%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$305.8K
24h Vol$5.4K
POLYMARKETGPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
5.0 pt (24h)8mo
55%++5.0pt95%60%+-3.0pt86%65%++5.0pt36%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$129.4K
24h Vol$11.5K
POLYMARKET
Kimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Debut?
10.5 pt (24h)8mo
1470++1.0pt43%1480+-2.0pt26%1490+-10.5pt8%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (62)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$112.2K
24h Vol$11.9K
POLYMARKETHow much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
8.8 pt (24h)1y
$95B to $105B-8.8pt40.2%$85B to $95B23.7%$105B to $115B-0.5pt18.6%+6 more outcomes
High quality (81)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$98.5K
24h Vol$11.8K
POLYMARKET
Grok App Downloads in October 2026
2.0 pt (24h)5d
Above 55+2.0pt99%Above 2599%Above 60+49.0pt68%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$72.1K
24h Vol$14.4K
KALSHIGemini Carbon released on?
6.0 pt (24h)28d
November 10+6.0pt24.5%November 1118.9%No release by November 309.4%+29 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Wide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$78K
24h Vol$13.1K
POLYMARKETWhen will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
3mo
November 2–November 865.7%November 16–November 22-1.5pt16.2%November 9–November 15-7.5pt8.1%+13 more outcomes
Medium quality (57)Wide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$74K
24h Vol$13.6K
POLYMARKET
Gemini App Downloads in October 2026
5d
Above 6099%Above 110+1.0pt99%Above 7099%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$91.2K
24h Vol$8.3K
KALSHI
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
0.1 pt (24h)1mo
No IPO by December 31, 2026+0.1pt97%1.5T+1%750B–1T1%+4 more outcomes
High quality (83)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2.5M
24h Vol$3.7K
POLYMARKETBest AI this month
92.0 pt (24h)27d
Gemini68%Claude28%ChatGPT-92.0pt2%+4 more outcomes
High quality (77)Tight spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$22.6K
24h Vol$22.6K
KALSHI
ChatGPT App Downloads in October
5d
Above 3599%Above 5099%Above 6598%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$49.7K
24h Vol$8.5K
KALSHI
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
3y
202924%202817%20278%High quality (75)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.9M
24h Vol$1.9K
POLYMARKET
OpenAI IPO by which date?
0.3 pt (24h)8mo
June 30, 2027+0.5pt46%March 31, 202720%December+0.3pt3%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.1M
24h Vol$1.5K
POLYMARKET
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
2.0 pt (24h)1mo
Anthropic-2.0pt77%OpenAI+2.0pt15%Google6%+6 more outcomes
High quality (81)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$3.5K
KALSHI
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
8.0 pt (24h)1mo
Clip-on device for clothing20%Earbuds/Headphones-0.5pt12%Glasses-8.0pt8%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$470.2K
24h Vol$4.7K
POLYMARKETNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
28d
November 315.3%No release by November 30-6.0pt12.6%November 5+0.7pt9%+29 more outcomes
Medium quality (50)Wide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$23.5K
24h Vol$6.7K
POLYMARKET
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
3.0 pt (24h)1mo
0+1.0pt79.6%1-3.0pt14.3%2+0.3pt3.1%+3 more outcomes
High quality (75)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$447.8K
24h Vol$4.3K
POLYMARKETNext Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?
1.3 pt (24h)8mo
Top 10-1.3pt94%Top 5-3.0pt88%Top 3+13.5pt84%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$22.5K
24h Vol$6.1K
POLYMARKET
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
0.2 pt (24h)1y
2027-2.0pt53%2026+0.2pt14%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.2M
24h Vol$1.3K
POLYMARKET
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
5.0 pt (24h)1mo
Gemini+10.0pt42%Claude+5.0pt17%ChatGPT5%+5 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$244K
24h Vol$4K
KALSHIAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
3.0 pt (24h)1y
1.8T++3.0pt57.6%1.5–1.8T-0.5pt29.3%1.2–1.5T-0.1pt8.1%+4 more outcomes
CoinRithm reference1.8T+57%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (76)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$598.4K
24h Vol$1.4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
0.2 pt (24h)1y
600B+97%No IPO by December 31, 2027+0.2pt2%400–600B1%+4 more outcomes
High quality (79)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$533.7K
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKET
When will any company achieve AGI?
1.0 pt (24h)8mo
Before Jan 1, 203081%Before Jan 1, 2031+1.0pt78%Before Jan 1, 202977%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Moderate spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$272.8K
24h Vol$2.4K
KALSHI
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
1.0 pt (24h)1mo
OpenAI+1.0pt16%Meta+2.0pt7%xAI+1.0pt7%+9 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh open interest
Total Vol$453.2K
24h Vol$1.3K
KALSHIOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1mo
Yes5.9%
No94.1%
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$361K
24h Vol$1.6K
POLYMARKET
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
3.0 pt (24h)13y
Anthropic-3.0pt95%OpenAI+1.0pt6%CoinRithm referenceAnthropic97%· 3 pt venue spread
Medium quality (60)Wide spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$437.3K
24h Vol$1.2K
KALSHI
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Before 2027
1.0 pt (24h)1mo
Yes8%+1.0pt
No92%
High quality (75)Moderate spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$205.1K
24h Vol$2.8K
KALSHI
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 2, 2026
22h
Above 53.4%99%Above 56.7%99%Above 57.2%99%+6 more outcomes
Low quality (44)Wide spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$7.2K
24h Vol$7K
KALSHI
GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?
8.5 pt (24h)1mo
$7.00+-8.5pt62.4%$5.50-$6.00+8.1pt9.9%$5.00-$5.50+5.7pt6.9%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (64)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$120.7K
24h Vol$4.6K
POLYMARKETHighest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
5.0 pt (24h)1mo
50%+-5.0pt14%55%++1.0pt13%60%+-1.0pt10%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (58)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$137.1K
24h Vol$3.9K
POLYMARKET
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?
18.0 pt (24h)3mo
Alibaba-18.0pt27%
Xiaomi-13.0pt20%
Moonshot-14.5pt18.3%+8 more outcomes
Medium quality (63)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.8K
24h Vol$6.8K
POLYMARKET