Selected book midpoint
Google · —
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Stored reference
Google 61%Leader of 15 outcomes
Google 61%Market quality
≤89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$72K
Liquidity
$1.5M
High liquidityOpen interest
$317.4K
Bid / Ask
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GoogleSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+8.0 pts
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Jun 4, 26, 5:41 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Google
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhich company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.