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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

1.5% (24h)AIOne-OffTech6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Anthropic
Anthropic 66%-1.5%
Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality

91 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$2.7K

Liquidity

$562.2K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

65.0% / 66.0%

Spread

1.5%

Tight spread
7d Change

+9.5%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jun 4, 26, 5:56 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Anthropic66%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,907.50+0.14%EthereumETH$1,677.36+0.13%SolanaSOL$67.81+1.19%DogecoinDOGE$0.0878+1.09%BNBBNB$606.15-0.24%XRPXRP$1.15+0.48%

Related News

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.