Current implied probability
Anthropic 55.1%-8.5ptLeader of 21 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Anthropic 55.1%-8.5ptMarket quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$853.8
Liquidity
$5K
Medium liquiditySpread
14.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 12:11 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?
PolymarketWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on November 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores.
- If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.