Space

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

1.9%1y

>$1T

-0.6%98%

>$1.2T

+0.3%98%

>$1.4T

+1.9%96%

+13 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$9.7M

24h Vol$959.7K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

0.2%1y

1T+

-0.1%99%

500B–600B

900B–1T

-0.2%0%

+5 more outcomes

77 • High qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$4.1M

24h Vol$95.5K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

0.3%6mo

September 30

+0.1%100%

December 31

100%

August 31

+0.1%100%

+5 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$4.1M

24h Vol$112.1K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

4.5%

2.0T-2.5T

-4.5%45%

1.5T-2.0T

-0.5%30%

2.5T-3.0T

+2.5%14%

+5 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.8M

24h Vol$66.3K

POLYMARKET

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Other (incl $SPCX)

100%

$SPAX

$SX

+16 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$7M

24h Vol$6.4K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

0.1%1y

2.0T+

-1.0%64%

1.8T–2.0T

-2.0%19%

1.6T–1.8T

-2.4%9%

+5 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$1.4M

24h Vol$22.9K

POLYMARKET

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

0.3%6mo

June

-0.3%99%

February

-0.8%0%

March

+9 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$495K

24h Vol$12K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

0.2%2d

Elon Musk

-0.2%98%

Bret Johnsen

+1.5%97%

Gwynne Shotwell

+1.5%95%

+15 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$66.4K

24h Vol$59.8K

POLYMARKET

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

0.6%6mo

September 30

39%

December 31

37%

June 30

-0.6%1%

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$553.8K

24h Vol$27.5K

POLYMARKET

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

0.3%20d

↑$1.6T

+3.5%100%

↑$1.5T

+2.0%100%

↓$1.4T

+68.5%100%

+12 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$513.2K

24h Vol$11K

POLYMARKET

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

0.3%

70-80B

+0.3%95%

80-90B

-0.5%2%

50-60B

-0.5%1%

+7 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$334.5K

24h Vol$12.6K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

4.0%2d

↑$150

+16.0%92%

↑$200

+3.5%21%

↑$250

-4.5%6%

+1 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$32.5K

24h Vol$32.3K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price

0.3%2d

$150-$200

+11.5%61%

$100-$150

-4.5%26%

$200-$250

-1.5%11%

+3 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$7.2K

24h Vol$6.3K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO Date

0.1%18d

June 12

-0.3%97%

June 15

-0.1%1%

June 18

+0.1%1%

+18 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$137.2K

24h Vol$2.1K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

1.1%6mo

Yes

-0.0%0%

+0.0%100%

65 • Medium qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$11.6K

24h Vol$8.2K

POLYMARKET

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

1.4%1y

2027

+0.5%56%

June 30, 2027

-2.0%45%

2026

-1.4%11%

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$815.4K

24h Vol$407.9

POLYMARKET

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

6.0%6mo

-4.5%52%

5-6

+3.5%26%

7-8

+4.3%10%

+5 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$464.8K

24h Vol$543.7

POLYMARKET

When will Starship flight 13 happen?

6mo

Before 2026-02-01

Before 2026-03-01

Before 2026-04-01

+11 more outcomes

Community forecast65 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$279.6K

24h Vol$1.4K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?

0.5%6mo

December 31

+0.5%90%

September 30

+4.0%56%

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$73.5K

24h Vol$1.2K

POLYMARKET

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

1.0%20d

Before Jul 1, 2026

+1.0%99%

Before Aug 1, 2026

99%

Before Sep 1, 2026

99%

+11 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$66.7K

24h Vol$404.5

KALSHI

Human moon landing in 2026?

0.1%6mo

Yes

97%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.9M

24h Vol$477.1

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

2.0%

-0.0%65%

Down

+0.0%36%

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$8.2K

24h Vol$4.8K

POLYMARKET

AI data center in space by...?

1.0%1y

2027

-2.0%18%

2026

-1.0%7%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$14.7K

24h Vol$1.6K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

3.5%20d

SpaceX

-0.0%90%

Tesla

+0.0%11%

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$20.4K

24h Vol$1.5K

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

5.0%

-0.1%53%

Down

+0.1%48%

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$4.6K

24h Vol$3.3K

POLYMARKET

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

By Dec 31, 2025

74%

By Dec 31, 2026

94.9%

By Dec 31, 2027

97.2%

+3 more outcomes

Community forecast33 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$28.3K

24h Vol$7K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

5.5%20d

+0.1%53%

Down

-0.1%48%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$2.7K

24h Vol$2K

POLYMARKET

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?

Yes

75.6%

24.4%

Community forecast46 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$11.7K

24h Vol$6.8K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

8.5%20d

$2.0T-$2.5T

+8.5%48%

$1.5T-$2.0T

-15.5%24%

$2.5T-$3.0T

-22.5%17%

+5 more outcomes

80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$881.5

24h Vol$721.6

POLYMARKET

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in June 2026?

1.0%20d

↓ $132

+25.4%100%

↓ $128

+30.9%100%

↓ $124

+34.0%100%

+11 more outcomes

68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$26.1K

24h Vol$2.8K

POLYMARKET

[Polymarket] What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$SPAX

$SEX

+7 more outcomes

Community forecast36 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$19.3K

24h Vol$2.5K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?

3.5%18d

14+

-3.0%55%

-3.5%30%

+0.5%14%

+2 more outcomes

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$11.2K

24h Vol$550.1

POLYMARKET

Will Spacex close above a $2.5 Trillion Market Cap on it's first day of trading (IPO)?

Yes

16.7%

83.3%

Community forecast91 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$12.9K

24h Vol$2.8K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

0.1%

1.75-2.00T

+1.0%95%

2.00-2.25T

-0.1%2%

1.25-1.50T

+4 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$208.5K

24h Vol$132.4

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Yes

84%

17%

79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$1.8K

24h Vol$607.1

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

2.0%6mo

Yes

-0.0%9%

+0.0%92%

52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.4K

24h Vol$349.6

POLYMARKET

SpaceX IPO day's closing market cap

<$750B

0.4%

$750B - $1T

0.6%

$1T - $1.25T

1.3%

+7 more outcomes

Community forecast59 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$29.2K

24h Vol$906.2

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?

Q2 2024 or earlier

Q3 2024 or earlier

Q4 2024 or earlier

+18 more outcomes

Community forecast60 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$28.6K

24h Vol$250

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

0.3%18d

Yes

98%

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$31K

24h Vol$128.9

POLYMARKET

When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse

6mo

Before July 2024

Before October 2024

Before January 2025

+8 more outcomes

Community forecast7 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$8.4K

24h Vol$300

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

6mo

Falcon 9

95.5%

Super Heavy (Starship)

2.1%

Electron

0.9%

+2 more outcomes

Community forecast14 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$6.2K

24h Vol$500

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will there be x simultaneously operational Starships?

2mo

05 by end of 2026/08 i.e. Aug 2026

05 by end of 2026/10

05 by end of 2026/12

+16 more outcomes

Community forecast16 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$6.8K

24h Vol$264.3

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

6mo

Yes

86.9%

13.1%

Community forecast26 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$4K

24h Vol$500

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many launches will SpaceX have in June?

20.0%20d

Above 14

+20.0%37%

Above 13

+15.0%78%

Above 12

+1.0%89%

+5 more outcomes

63 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$3K

24h Vol$476.7

KALSHI

How many satellites launched in 2026?

6mo

3000 or more

95.7%

3200 or more

93.8%

3400 or more

91.6%

+13 more outcomes

Community forecast3 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$2.3K

24h Vol$540.5

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many successful SpaceX launches in June 2026 UTC

19d

8 or fewer

2.5%

3.5%

12.1%

+4 more outcomes

Community forecast8 forecastersType: multiple choice

Total Vol$3.3K

24h Vol$327.5

MANIFOLD MARKETS

SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

$100-$150

44%

$150-$200

42%

$200-$250

40%

+3 more outcomes

36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$712.1

24h Vol$712.1

POLYMARKET

Will SpaceX IPO before Bitcoin hits $100K again?

10mo

Yes

99%

Related Cryptos

BTC

Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary

Total Vol$5.9K

24h Vol$1.6K

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Related Crypto Assets

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price

SpaceX IPO Date

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

When will Starship flight 13 happen?

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

Human moon landing in 2026?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

AI data center in space by...?

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion, on June 12th, the IPO date of Spacex?

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in June 2026?

[Polymarket] What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?

Will Spacex close above a $2.5 Trillion Market Cap on it's first day of trading (IPO)?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

SpaceX IPO day's closing market cap

When will Starship first attempt propellant transfer from one ship to another in orbit?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse

Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

When will there be x simultaneously operational Starships?

Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

How many launches will SpaceX have in June?

How many satellites launched in 2026?

How many successful SpaceX launches in June 2026 UTC

SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

Will SpaceX IPO before Bitcoin hits $100K again?