Space
711 related markets tracked across sources for Space.
Open Markets
422
Total Volume
$93,591,189
24h Volume
$325,287
Total Liquidity
$9,535,146
Related Crypto Assets
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
7.0%6d
99%
99%
-1.0%97%
+5 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$936.8K
24h Vol$175.3K
KALSHI
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
5mo
86%
26%
14%
+71 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$4.9M
24h Vol$10.2K
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of August?
1.0%1mo
+1.0%91%
50%
50%
+29 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$312.2K
24h Vol$7.8K
POLYMARKET
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
17.0%9mo
+8.0%68%
+17.0%42%
+16.0%35%
+10 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$413.2K
24h Vol$6.3K
KALSHI
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
1.9%5mo
67%
-1.9%33%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$213.5K
24h Vol$12.2K
KALSHI
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
4.0%2mo
-4.0%75%
50%
50%
+29 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$13.9K
24h Vol$8.1K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI Agent end of August?
5.0%1mo
70%
50%
50%
+29 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$13.2K
24h Vol$10.7K
POLYMARKET
Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?
7.6%5d
+6.5%44%
-7.6%37%
-0.3%9%
+4 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$96K
24h Vol$6.9K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
2.0%2mo
+2.0%88%
50%
50%
+29 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$18.5K
24h Vol$3.7K
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
10.5%2mo
50%
50%
50%
+27 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$13K
24h Vol$10.9K
POLYMARKET
#2 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)
3.5%1mo
+6.0%63%
50%
50%
+29 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$13.8K
24h Vol$6.5K
POLYMARKET
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
5mo
+0.5%19%
10%
-0.1%0%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$876.5K
24h Vol$1.4K
POLYMARKETWhich company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)
0.9%1mo
-0.5%90%
50%
50%
+29 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$13.1K
24h Vol$3.4K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of August?
7.5%1mo
-3.5%72%
50%
50%
+27 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.1K
24h Vol$7.1K
POLYMARKETSecond-best AI Lab end of August?
27.0%1mo
+27.0%59%
50%
50%
+29 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.6K
24h Vol$5.4K
POLYMARKET
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
2.0%5mo
-2.0%16%
8%
2%
+5 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$248.9K
24h Vol$1.3K
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
1.0%5mo
97%
+1.0%89%
+4.0%77%
+6 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$513.5K
24h Vol$442.2
KALSHI
Total space launches in July
1.0%12d
93%
-10.0%15%
-1.0%3%
+5 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$68.4K
24h Vol$13.3K
KALSHI
When will Starship flight 14 happen?
9mo
+0.2%95%
94%
93.3%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast41 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
2.0%5mo
72%
-2.0%28%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$255K
24h Vol$771.9
KALSHIWhich company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July?
3.1%5d
-3.1%78%
50%
50%
+26 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$40.6K
24h Vol$4.3K
POLYMARKET
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1.0%5mo
-1.0%55%
+1.0%42%
-0.3%2%
+3 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.2M
24h Vol$793.5
POLYMARKET
How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
1.0%12d
97%
-1.0%96%
-2.0%88%
+5 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$38.9K
24h Vol$6.4K
KALSHI
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
11mo
+9.6%79.9%
+2.7%38.8%
+3.5%30.1%
+9 more outcomes
Community forecast108 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
2mo
63%
50%
50%
+31 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$9.2K
24h Vol$1.1K
POLYMARKET
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of July?
10.0%5d
+0.2%91%
-2.0%86%
+1.3%70%
+10 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$86.6K
24h Vol$551.8
POLYMARKETHow many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5mo
-1.8%89.2%
-1.9%60.9%
+7.6%33%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast60 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
1.0%2mo
-2.0%36%
-1.0%13%
+1.0%2%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$56.3K
24h Vol$1K
KALSHIWhen will Starship flight 15 happen?
1y
+0.3%89.6%
86.7%
-0.3%79.3%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
NASA lands on the moon?
0.3%1y
47%
+1.0%27%
+0.3%3%
+1 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$501.2K
24h Vol$113.3
KALSHI
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
1.0%1y
+1.0%65%
35%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$52.8K
24h Vol$377.7
KALSHIWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?
1mo
76%
50%
50%
+31 more outcomes
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$21K
24h Vol$317.2
POLYMARKET
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5.5%5mo
+5.5%65%
-1.5%23%
-0.5%12%
+5 more outcomes
CoinRithm reference5-665%· ±0 pts
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$489.5K
24h Vol$781.3
POLYMARKET
What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?
14.0%5mo
93%
82%
-14.0%81%
+16 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$15.1K
24h Vol$1.3K
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
5y
98.9%
98.1%
97.2%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast33 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
2.0%5mo
+2.0%67%
-3.0%33%
+1.5%17%
+2 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$6.5K
24h Vol$2K
POLYMARKET
Human moon landing in 2026?
0.2%5mo
98%
2%
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$2M
24h Vol$243.5
POLYMARKETWhich months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?
5mo
100%
100%
+7.0%65.4%
+9 more outcomes
Community forecast44 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Starship complete an orbit?
1y
90.6%
+3.9%89.9%
+6.7%87.7%
+37 more outcomes
Community forecast180 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1.2%4d
+3.0%94%
-2.1%6%
-1.2%2%
+1 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$112K
24h Vol$607.4
POLYMARKETThird-best AI Lab end of August?
1mo
50%
50%
50%
+29 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.7K
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKET
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
0.1%5d
+2.0%83%
-1.5%13%
+0.1%3%
+3 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$42.8K
24h Vol$972.6
POLYMARKETSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?
2.0%1mo
53%
50%
50%
+27 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$452.9
POLYMARKETMajority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?
5mo
93.8%
6.2%
Community forecast57 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Starship milestone dates megamarket
5d
100%
100%
100%
+134 more outcomes
Community forecast75 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
1.0%5mo
51%
18%
+2.0%16%
+7 more outcomes
CoinRithm reference5-665%· ±0 pts
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$25.5K
24h Vol$980.5
KALSHI
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
0.1%3y
+0.1%54%
46%
83 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$134.2K
24h Vol$215.5
KALSHI
What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)
92.5%16h
+81.3%100%
+92.5%100%
+39.0%100%
+14 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$19.6K
24h Vol$3.6K
POLYMARKET