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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. China

China

193 related markets tracked across sources for China.

Open Markets

81

Total Volume

$83,853,586

24h Volume

$1,106,250

Total Liquidity

$2,483,155

Open Markets

81

Total Volume

$83,853,586

24h Volume

$1,106,250

Total Liquidity

$2,483,155

Related Topics

CricketForeign ExchangeTrade Policy

Topics

Crypto

Bitcoin579

Politics

Middle East374Geopolitics264Politics4134Election3211US Politics2336Latin America476

Macro

Fed114Commodities143Corporate Actions216

Sports

Sports6314Soccer3156Baseball686Esports433FIFA World Cup1008Tennis675Basketball415American Football303Motorsport92

Tech

Tech622

Science

Space134

Theme

Exchange548Stablecoin426

Entity

Binance414

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Related News

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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

0.7%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%7%
No
No
+0.0%93%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$34.1M
24h Vol$85.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

0.3%18d
Yes
Yes
0%
No
No
100%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$10.8M
24h Vol$211.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

0.3%6mo
Yes
Yes
8%
No
No
92%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$10.1M
24h Vol$30.5K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

18d
Yes
Yes
1%
No
No
99%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$3.3M
24h Vol$6.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

18d
Yes
Yes
1%
No
No
99%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$12.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

3.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%13%
No
No
-0.0%88%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.9M
24h Vol$6.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

1y
Yes
Yes
16%
No
No
85%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$702.3K
24h Vol$2K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0.1%3mo
Yes
Yes
3%
No
No
97%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$857.8K
24h Vol$2.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

0.1%6mo
Yes
Yes
3%
No
No
97%

Related Cryptos

BitcoinBTC
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$954.4K
24h Vol$2.4K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 12?

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 12?

1d
34°C
34°C
28%
33°C
33°C
24%
32°C
32°C
15%

+8 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.8K
24h Vol$8.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

1.1%6mo
Yes
Yes
-0.0%3%
No
No
+0.0%97%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$137.8K
24h Vol$2.1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?

Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?

2.5%10h
31°C
31°C
+15.5%43%
32°C
32°C
+5.0%38%
33°C
33°C
-2.0%13%

+8 more outcomes

61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$27.5K
24h Vol$19.9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

4.4%6mo
Dong Jun
Dong Jun
+0.5%14%
Wang Huning
Wang Huning
-4.4%8%
Zhao Leji
Zhao Leji
-0.1%6%

+6 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$169.1K
24h Vol$934
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

0.6%1mo
4.6-4.9%
4.6-4.9%
-1.5%83%
4.9-5.2%
4.9-5.2%
11%
5.2-5.5%
5.2-5.5%
3%

+6 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$52.9K
24h Vol$958.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

0.8%18d
Yes
Yes
+0.0%1%
No
No
-0.0%99%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$62.6K
24h Vol$1K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

Best Chinese AI Company end of June?

0.5%18d
Alibaba
Alibaba
+0.5%85%
Z.ai
Z.ai
14%
ByteDance
ByteDance
1%

+22 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$32.5K
24h Vol$576.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6mo
Yes
Yes
10%
No
No
91%
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$729.1K
24h Vol$132
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

0.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%8%
No
No
93%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$124.9K
24h Vol$262.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

0.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
90%
No
No
+0.0%11%
83 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$361.2K
24h Vol$121.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

3.0%6mo
December 31
December 31
-3.0%36%
June 30
June 30
-0.1%1%
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$42.8K
24h Vol$450.9
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

0.5%5mo
Kuomintang (KMT)
Kuomintang (KMT)
82%
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
+0.5%20%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
0%

+27 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$117.8K
24h Vol$218
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

0.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%75%
No
No
25%
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.5K
24h Vol$285.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

4.0%6mo
December 31
December 31
-4.0%12%
June 30
June 30
-0.7%1%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$163.4K
24h Vol$246.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

20.0%7mo
1.1 – 1.5%
1.1 – 1.5%
+20.0%62%
0.6 – 1.0%
0.6 – 1.0%
+1.0%21%
1.6 – 2.0%
1.6 – 2.0%
-7.3%15%

+6 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$44.4K
24h Vol$168.3
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

0.1%18d
Yes
Yes
5%
No
No
95%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$38.6K
24h Vol$218.6
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

2026 年年底台湾会回归中国吗?

6mo
Manifold Markets
会
8.2%
Manifold Markets
不会
93.6%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$4.7K
24h Vol$250
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

6mo
Yes
Yes
21%
No
No
80%
72 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$488.5K
24h Vol$4.8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

0.1%18d
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
+0.1%1%
December 31, 2025
December 31, 2025
0%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$38.9K
24h Vol$107.1
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

1y
Yes
Yes
13%
No
No
88%
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$226.6K
24h Vol$20
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

0.1%18d
Yes
Yes
1%
No
No
99%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.3M
24h Vol$50.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Is Xi Jinping mentally retarded?

963y
Manifold Markets
Yes
12.7%
Manifold Markets
No
87.3%
Community forecast54 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$4.5K
24h Vol$100
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

0.1%18d
Yes
Yes
1%
No
No
99%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$316.1K
24h Vol$4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

4y
Manifold Markets
USA
45.4%
Manifold Markets
China
37.5%
Manifold Markets
Russia
20%

+1 more outcomes

Community forecast25 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$2K
24h Vol$135
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

6mo
Yes
Yes
2%
No
No
98%
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$102.3K
24h Vol$2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

0.1%6mo
December 31
December 31
15%
June 30
June 30
-0.1%1%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$130.1K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

0.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%7%
No
No
93%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$50.1K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will China fly people to the moon before Chinese New Year 2028?

1y
Manifold Markets
Yes
35.8%
Manifold Markets
No
64.2%
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$504.8
24h Vol$138.8
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

6mo
Yes
Yes
5%
No
No
96%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$43.3K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
7%
No
No
94%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$12K
24h Vol$83.6
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

18d
Yes
Yes
6%
No
No
95%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$26.1K
24h Vol$14.8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?

1.0%6mo
December 31
December 31
-6.5%77%
June 30
June 30
-1.0%9%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$23.5K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? (Quarters)

3y
Manifold Markets
2026 Q1
1.1%
Manifold Markets
2026 Q2
3.8%
Manifold Markets
2026 Q3
3.8%

+6 more outcomes

Community forecast5 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$674.8
24h Vol$250
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

2.5%6mo
Yes
Yes
+0.0%14%
No
No
-0.0%86%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$138K
24h Vol$48.3
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will happen at IMO 2026? (add your questions!!)

What will happen at IMO 2026? (add your questions!!)

1mo
At least 1/2 of all contestants receive at least bronze
At least 1/2 of all contestants receive at least bronze
55.7%
At least 1/4 of all contestants receive at least silver
At least 1/4 of all contestants receive at least silver
58.3%
At least 1/12 of all contestants receive at least gold
At least 1/12 of all contestants receive at least gold
60%

+28 more outcomes

Community forecast76 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$8.9K
24h Vol$21.7
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

20d
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
1%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
+4.7%11%
Before Jan 1, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2029
-21.0%20%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.1K
24h Vol$63
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Xi JinPing visits USA before July 31?

1mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
4.7%
Manifold Markets
No
95.3%
Community forecast18 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$4.1K
24h Vol$50
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Jet Lag: the Game visits P.R.China before 2030?

3y
Manifold Markets
Yes
11.1%
Manifold Markets
No
88.9%
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$224.1
24h Vol$150
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

How many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)

1y
Manifold Markets
10-15
31.4%
Manifold Markets
16-20
21.7%
Manifold Markets
21-29
16.4%

+2 more outcomes

Community forecast4 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$192.3
24h Vol$92.3
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS