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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu 43%-1.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

71 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$24.9

Liquidity

$11.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

44.0% / 45.0%

Spread

2.3%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Nov 11, 25, 3:00 PMJan 2, 27, 3:17 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Benjamin Netanyahu43%

Rules

If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.

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Rules

If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.