KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityVladimir Putin 12%+1.0%Leader of 37 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$1.3M
High liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
9.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Nov 11, 25, 3:00 PMJan 2, 27, 3:17 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Vladimir Putin12%
Compare venues· Keir Starmer
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 100% | — | $1.4K | $1.3M | 9 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets78% match · verified | — | 100% | — | — | — | 6 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?
5mo
100%
+0.4%96.5%
59%
+10 more outcomes
Community forecast37 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.5k35.0%KALSHIMiguel Díaz-Canel — Yes18d ago
KALSHIMiguel Díaz-Canel — Yes18d agoVolume trend
$1.4kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.