KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Bola Tinubu · —
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Stored price
Bola Tinubu 16.5%Leader of 10 outcomes
Bola Tinubu 16.5%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$12.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Bola TinubuSpread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Feb 6, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 35, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Bola Tinubu
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiWhich of these 10 Asian leaders will leave office next?
PredictItWhich World Leaders will leave office before EOY 2027? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWhich of these 10 European leaders will leave office next?
PredictItHow will Prabowo Subianto leave office?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
KalshiRules
If the President of Nigeria is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostABCNBCMSNBCSemaforAxiosThe InformationFox NewsPoliticoBloombergAP
- An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.
Rules for each outcome
- Bola Tinubu
- If the President of Nigeria is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cyril Ramaphosa
- If the President of South Africa is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- William Ruto
- If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
- If the President of Egypt is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Abdelmadjid Tebboune
- If the President of Algeria is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Félix Tshisekedi
- If the President of the DRC is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Mahama
- If the President of Ghana is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Paul Kagame
- If the President of Rwanda is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Taye Atske Selassie
- If the President of Ethiopia is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Emmerson Mnangagwa
- If the President of Zimbabwe is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
