KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
William Ruto 18.9%+7.0ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$910
Liquidity
$12.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Feb 6, 25, 3:00 PMJan 1, 35, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostABCNBCMSNBCSemaforAxiosThe InformationFox NewsPoliticoBloombergAP
- An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title.
- If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.
- If the President of South Africa is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of Egypt is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of Rwanda is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $209.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $697.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 more outcomes
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which of these African leaders will leave office next??
- Kalshi prices William Ruto at 19% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Which of these African leaders will leave office next? resolve?
- Which of these African leaders will leave office next? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2035.
- How is Which of these African leaders will leave office next? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.