PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 21%+0.4ptLeader of 51 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$398.9K
Liquidity
$80.3M
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
801
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 11, 25, 6:35 PMNov 7, 28, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
- Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · 5 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 24%
- Also available on Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%
- Also available on Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · AOCA 20%
- Also available on Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Pete Buttigieg 50%
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will J.B. Pritzker win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 96%
- Also available on Myriad — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Gavin Newsom 44%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $193.1M
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $10.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Total Vol
- $24.6M
- 24h Vol
- $546.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Polymarket prices Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 21% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 resolve?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
- Where else is Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Gemini, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Limitless, ForecastEx, Myriad.