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Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 12:34 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Chuck Schumer · —
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Stored price
Chuck Schumer 79.5%Leader of 13 outcomes
Chuck Schumer 79.5%Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$448.3
Open interest
$94.4K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Chuck SchumerSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 25, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Chuck Schumer
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2028?
Manifold Markets120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictIt120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?
KalshiRules
If Chuck Schumer wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Senate Democrats
- The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. For referendums, "Yes" and "No" are the options. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) is the winner. Markets resolve based on official results, not exit polls or projections. If elections are postponed beyond the expiration date, markets resolve to No. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
Rules for each outcome
- Chuck Schumer
- If Chuck Schumer wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brian Schatz
- If Brian Schatz wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chris Murphy
- If Chris Murphy wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chris Van Hollen
- If Chris Van Hollen wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Patty Murray
- If Patty Murray wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cory Booker
- If Cory Booker wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amy Klobuchar
- If Amy Klobuchar wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Mark Warner
- If Mark Warner wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tammy Baldwin
- If Tammy Baldwin wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphael Warnock
- If Raphael Warnock wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jon Ossoff
- If Jon Ossoff wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego
- If Ruben Gallego wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jacky Rosen
- If Jacky Rosen wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Next Senate Democratic Leader? · Brian Schatz 37%
