KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Xavier Becerra 97%+0.1pt
Market quality
96 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$140.3K
Liquidity
$5.5M
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 3.3%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
May 16, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the California Secretary of State
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Prediction Source Comparison
5 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Xavier Becerra is 95%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Xavier Becerra 95% · 5 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — California Governor Winner · Xavier Becerra 97%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? · Democratic Party 95%
- Also available on Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Also available on Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 88%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 94%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt57.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.4pt37.4%
- Augusto Cury+1.4pt3%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $137.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.9M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $195.4M
- 24h Vol
- $908.6K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.8pt34%
- Édouard Philippe25%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-0.5pt14%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-6.3pt70%
- October 31-9.5pt50%
- September 30-13.0pt25%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-4.5pt51%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-2.0pt25%
- Naftali Bennett8%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt14.6%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11.5%
+49 more outcomes
- AK-AL primary: Who will advance?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California Governor winner? (Person)?
- Kalshi prices Xavier Becerra at 97% as of August 28, 2026.
- When does California Governor winner? (Person) resolve?
- California Governor winner? (Person) is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is California Governor winner? (Person) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is California Governor winner? (Person) listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Futuur, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).