KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilitySteve Hilton 7%-0.6%Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$20.5K
Liquidity
$19.7M
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.1% / 7.2%
Spread
1.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 16, 25, 2:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Steve Hilton7%
Compare venues· Xavier Becerra
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Futuur
California governor election winner
3mo
90%
7%
8%
+1 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$0
FUTUUR
Also available on Smarkets
California Governor Election Winner
6.5%
90.1%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.4K
24h Vol$0
SMARKETS
Also available on Polymarket
California Governor Election Winner
1.4%3mo
-0.8%93%
+1.4%7%
0%
+42 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$40.2M
24h Vol$10.9K
POLYMARKETRules
If Toni Atkins is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kyle Langford is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Caruso is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chad Bianco is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Antonio Villaraigosa is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$20.5kJul 210d of dataJul 11
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If Toni Atkins is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kyle Langford is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Caruso is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Chad Bianco is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Antonio Villaraigosa is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.