KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Xavier Becerra 96%
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$39.7K
Liquidity
$770.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.8% / 4.2%
Spread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 10, 25, 3:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:California Secretary of State
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? · Democratic Party 96%
- Also available on Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 88%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 93%
- Also available on Kalshi — California Governor winner? (Person) · Xavier Becerra 96%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California Governor winner??
- Kalshi prices Xavier Becerra at 96% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does California Governor winner? resolve?
- California Governor winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is California Governor winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is California Governor winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Futuur, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera), Kalshi.