Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms3mo
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Xavier Becerra 96%Leader of 15 outcomes
Xavier Becerra 96%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
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24h Volume
$3.1K
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 17, 25, 2:27 PM UTCJan 31, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
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ForecastExRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? · Xavier Becerra 98%
- Also available on Kalshi — California Governor winner? (Person) · Xavier Becerra 97%
- Also available on Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 98%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 96%
