PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Xavier Becerra 95%Leader of 15 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?
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PredictItRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? · Democratic Party 96%
- Also available on Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Also available on Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 88%
- Also available on Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 93%
Open markets
Politics
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+38 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
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+39 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
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+48 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $215.7M
- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California??
- PredictIt prices Xavier Becerra at 95% as of September 12, 2026.
- How is Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? settled?
- PredictIt settles this market as follows: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the individual who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election. <br /><br />PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Where else is Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Futuur, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).