KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Abdul El-Sayed 59%-1.0pt
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$18.2K
Liquidity
$1.7M
High liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 41.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Smarkets — Michigan Senate Election Winner · Democrat 61%
- Also available on Futuur — Michigan's Senate election winner · Democratic Party 66%
- Also available on Polymarket — Michigan Senate Election Winner · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 61%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Michigan Senate winner??
- Kalshi prices Abdul El-Sayed at 59% as of August 24, 2026.
- When does Michigan Senate winner? resolve?
- Michigan Senate winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Michigan Senate winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Michigan Senate winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Smarkets, Futuur, Polymarket.