KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityRon DeSantis 3%Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$246.6K
Liquidity
$36.5M
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.2% / 2.5%
Spread
13.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
May 10, 25, 2:00 PMNov 7, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Ron DeSantis3%
Compare venues· JD Vance
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall80% match · verified | Medium | 20% | 0pt | $1.2M | $37.7M | 3 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Medium | 18% | -2pt | $246.6K | $36.5M | 18 minutes ago | |
 Smarkets70% match · verified | Low | 17% | -3pt | $28 | $0 | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 Myriad80% match · linked | Low | 43% | +23pt | $0 | $0 | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 Futuur75% match · auto | Low | 15% | -5pt | $0 | $0 | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless70% match · verified | Low | 50% | +30pt | $0 | $0 | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets80% match · linked | — | 19% | -1pt | — | — | 1 hour ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
0.1%2y
20%
+0.1%14%
+0.3%12%
+125 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$656.7M
24h Vol$1.2M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2y
0.3%
13.5%
0.2%
+42 more outcomes
Community forecast1,006 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Myriad
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
11.1%2y
-0.1%42.8%
+0.3%18.5%
+0.0%5.4%
+28 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
MYRIADAlso available on Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3mo
15%
15%
14%
+2 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$299.9
24h Vol$0
FUTUURAlso available on Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
7.1%
0.2%
0.1%
+36 more outcomes
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$313.8K
24h Vol$28
SMARKETSAlso available on Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2y
50%
50%
50%
+4 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$16.7K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
If Gavin Newsom is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pete Buttigieg is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Shapiro is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kamala Harris is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Wes Moore is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$246.6kJul 211d of dataJul 12
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If Gavin Newsom is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pete Buttigieg is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Shapiro is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kamala Harris is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Wes Moore is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.