KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Marine Le Pen 32.8%+1.0ptLeader of 28 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$543.7
Liquidity
$156.9K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Feb 14, 25, 3:00 PMMay 30, 28, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the government of France
- If Éric Zemmour wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the named outcome wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Marine Le Pen 33% · 4 venues · 6 pt venue spread
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ? · Marine Le Pen 26%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the next French presidential election? · Édouard Philippe 32%
- Also available on Limitless — Next French Presidential Election · Jordan Bardella 50%
- Also available on Polymarket — Next French Presidential Election · Marine Le Pen 35%
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $193.1M
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $10.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Total Vol
- $24.6M
- 24h Vol
- $546.4K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next French presidential election winner??
- Kalshi prices Marine Le Pen at 33% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Next French presidential election winner? resolve?
- Next French presidential election winner? is scheduled to resolve on May 30, 2028.
- How is Next French presidential election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Next French presidential election winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, PredictIt, Limitless, Polymarket.