Current implied probability
Marine Le Pen 33%+25.0%Leader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$15.9K
Liquidity
$105.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 34.0%
Spread
6.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Feb 14, 25, 3:00 PMMay 30, 28, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Marine Le Pen33%
Compare venues· Marine Le Pen
Ordered by 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2027 french presidential election
11mo
4.1%
-0.5%24.8%
+21.2%28.4%
+14 more outcomes
Community forecast71 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$28.8K
24h Vol$997.6
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
10mo
+20.5%27.6%
-0.6%24.5%
-18.2%9.4%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast37 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$17.8K
24h Vol$364
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on PredictIt
Who will win the next French presidential election?
48%
20%
12%
+6 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the next president of France?
1y
+21.1%27.7%
3.3%
0.6%
+33 more outcomes
Community forecast153 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$40.5K
24h Vol$1.9K
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Éric Zemmour wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Marine Le Pen wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jordan Bardella wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michel Barnier wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Xavier Bertrand wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$15.9kJul 36d of dataJul 8
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If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Éric Zemmour wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Marine Le Pen wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jordan Bardella wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michel Barnier wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Xavier Bertrand wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.