KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Marine Le Pen · —
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Stored price
Marine Le Pen 79.5%Leader of 14 outcomes
Marine Le Pen 79.5%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$32.7K
Open interest
$27.6K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Marine Le PenSpread
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Market data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingOct 12, 26, 8:00 PM UTCApr 18, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Marine Le Pen
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
KalshiNext French presidential election winner?
KalshiFrench presidential election: who will advance?
KalshiWill the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Washington, D.C. be won by any party other than the Democrats in any POTUS election in the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Marine Le Pen finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Conseil constitutionnel
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 1st, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Rules for each outcome
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Lisnard
- If David Lisnard finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Ruffin
- If François Ruffin finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Tondelier
- If Marine Tondelier finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xavier Bertrand
- If Xavier Bertrand finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Éric Zemmour
- If Éric Zemmour finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande finishes in 1st place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
