US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
7.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAugust 31 60%+14.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$127.4K
Liquidity
$144.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
4.8%
Moderate spread7d Change
+10.0%
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 6:04 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
August 3160%
Large trades
$18.0k89.0%POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — NoFruitful-Succotashyesterday
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — NoFruitful-Succotashyesterday$1.0k13.1%POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — YesSolid-Airfare2d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — YesSolid-Airfare2d ago$2.0k69.1%POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoArman24d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoArman24d ago$3.9k94.4%POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.1235d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.1235d ago$2.4k93.7%POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.1235d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.1235d ago$3.6k63.9%POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoRequired-Spit11d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoRequired-Spit11d ago$1.5k91.0%POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — NoCal80011d ago
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — NoCal80011d agoVolume trend
$127.4kJul 1314d of dataJul 26
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On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.