KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 53 · —
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Stored price
Below 53 61.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Below 53 61.5%Market quality
87 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$31.5K
Open interest
$697.2K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Below 53Spread
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Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Apr 4, 26, 2:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Below 53
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiWill the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
Rules for each outcome
- Below 53
- If the Democratic party has below 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 53
- If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 54
- If the Democratic party has exactly 54 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 55
- If the Democratic party has exactly 55 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 56
- If the Democratic party has exactly 56 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 57
- If the Democratic party has above 57 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 57
- If the Democratic party has exactly 57 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
