How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolitics4mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below 53 76.7%+1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$482
Liquidity
$70.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Apr 4, 26, 2:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
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PolymarketRules
If the Democratic party has the named outcome Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 54 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 55 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 56 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 57 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)?
- Kalshi prices Below 53 at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) resolve?
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic party has the named outcome Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.